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Ligue 1
Referee: Nicolas Rainville
St Etienne
S T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Rennes
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
50%
31%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 54%
38%
69%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 8. · Rennes 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 14 3 0 +32 45
2 Angers 17 8 6 3 +7 30
3 Caen 17 9 2 6 +2 29
4 Monaco 17 7 7 3 +1 28
5 Lyon 17 7 5 5 +5 26
6 Nice 17 7 4 6 +8 25
7 Lorient 17 6 7 4 +4 25
8 St Etienne 16 8 1 7 +0 25
9 Marseille 17 6 5 6 +7 23
10 Rennes 16 5 7 4 +2 22
11 Nantes 17 6 4 7 -3 22
12 Bordeaux 17 5 6 6 -5 21
13 Lille 17 4 8 5 -1 20
14 Reims 17 5 5 7 -3 20
15 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 17 5 5 7 -3 20
16 Montpellier 17 5 4 8 -3 19
17 Guingamp 17 5 4 8 -7 19
18 Bastia 17 5 3 9 -6 18
19 Toulouse 17 3 6 8 -12 15
20 Troyes 17 0 6 11 -25 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Rennes
40′
Pedro Henrique 0–1
G. Sio
41′
🟨 Pedro Henrique
Half-time 0–1
59′
🔁 J. Boga
↦ L. Baal
N. Maupay 🔁
↦ N. Roux
61′
V. Eysseric 🔁
↦ R. Cohade
66′
Neal Maupay 🟨
69′
70′
🔁 O. Dembèlé
↦ Pedro Henrique
B. Corgnet 🔁
↦ K. Monnet-Paquet
74′
Fabien Lemoine 🟨
75′
1–1 V. Eysseric
78′
80′
🟨 Sylvain Armand
84′
🔁 Y. Sylla
↦ J. Quintero
86′
🟨 Yacouba Sylla
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Etienne

16 S. Ruffier G
24 L. Perrin D
26 M. Bayal Sall D
25 K. Malcuit D
3 P. Polomat D
10 R. Cohade M
18 F. Lemoine M
5 V. Pajot M
22 K. Monnet-Paquet M
21 R. Hamouma M
9 N. Roux F
Bench (7)
14 N. Maupay
11 V. Eysseric
8 B. Corgnet
19 F. Pogba
28 I. Diomandé
30 J. Moulin
32 B. Assou-Ekotto

Rennes

1 B. Costil
29 R. Danzé D
22 S. Armand D
5 Pedro Mendes D
3 C. M'Bengue D
24 L. Baal D
6 G. Fernandes M
21 B. André M
11 J. Quintero M
13 G. Sio F
18 Pedro Henrique F
Bench (7)
17 J. Boga
23 O. Dembèlé
20 Y. Sylla
35 N. Janvier
12 S. Moreira
14 F. Diagne
16 O. Sorin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nicolas Rainville · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.