La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Huesca
Valladolid
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | +37 | 49 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | +19 | 44 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | +8 | 39 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | +14 | 36 |
| 5 |
Alaves
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 32 |
| 6 |
Getafe
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 31 |
| 7 |
Valencia
|
21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | +4 | 29 |
| 8 |
Betis
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -1 | 29 |
| 9 |
Sociedad
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +1 | 27 |
| 10 |
Eibar
|
21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | -4 | 26 |
| 11 |
Ath Bilbao
|
21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 |
Levante
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -8 | 26 |
| 13 |
Valladolid
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | -5 | 25 |
| 14 |
Girona
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 |
Espanol
|
21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 |
Leganes
|
21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | -6 | 23 |
| 17 |
Vallecano
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -11 | 23 |
| 18 |
Celta
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
| 19 |
Villarreal
|
21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | -22 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Jorge Pulido
D
Javier Galán
D
Moi Gómez
M
Y. Herrera
M
Enric Gallego
F
J. Hernández
F
Coach: Francisco
Rubén Alcaraz
M
Coach: Sergio
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Huesca
Huesca
Ath Madrid
Leganes
Huesca
Huesca
Betis
Valencia
Huesca
Jose Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.