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Eliteserien

Referee: K Steen

Valerenga

U U S S U

2–2

Full-time

Lillestrom

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 12/9 matches

Win Ø 49%

42%

56%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

56%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

74% Possession 26%

18 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

12 Corners 3

4 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 3. · Lillestrom 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	12	8	2	2	+16	26
2	Bodo/Glimt	13	7	3	3	+14	24
3	Valerenga	12	5	5	2	+7	20
4	Kristiansund	12	6	2	4	-1	20
5	Rosenborg	13	5	4	4	+5	19
6	Viking	12	5	3	4	-2	18
7	Odd	10	4	4	2	+4	16
8	Lillestrom	9	5	1	3	+1	16
9	Haugesund	10	4	3	3	+3	15
10	Sandefjord	10	5	0	5	-2	15
11	Stromsgodset	11	3	4	4	-5	13
12	Sarpsborg 08	11	3	3	5	-6	12
13	Mjondalen	10	2	4	4	+1	10
14	Tromso	12	2	4	6	-10	10
15	Stabaek	10	1	3	6	-11	6
16	Brann	13	1	3	9	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	2	1	+13	17
2	Molde	6	5	0	1	+12	15
3	Haugesund	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Rosenborg	7	4	1	2	+7	13
5	Kristiansund	6	4	1	1	+3	13
6	Lillestrom	5	4	0	1	+3	12
7	Stromsgodset	5	3	2	0	+7	11
8	Viking	6	3	2	1	+5	11
9	Valerenga	6	2	3	1	+4	9
10	Sandefjord	6	3	0	3	+0	9
11	Odd	4	2	2	0	+4	8
12	Mjondalen	5	1	3	1	+2	6
13	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Brann	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Stabaek	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Tromso	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	6	3	2	1	+4	11
2	Valerenga	6	3	2	1	+3	11
3	Odd	6	2	2	2	+0	8
4	Tromso	7	2	2	3	-5	8
5	Bodo/Glimt	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Kristiansund	6	2	1	3	-4	7
7	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	1	3	-5	7
8	Viking	6	2	1	3	-7	7
9	Rosenborg	6	1	3	2	-2	6
10	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Mjondalen	5	1	1	3	-1	4
12	Lillestrom	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Stabaek	5	0	2	3	-6	2
14	Haugesund	5	0	2	3	-6	2
15	Stromsgodset	6	0	2	4	-12	2
16	Brann	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.