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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Valencia

U T S T T

2–1

Full-time

Girona

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Girona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

59%

35%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

59%

Both score Ø 56%

53%

59%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

2,1

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%

17 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 3. · Girona 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	14	3	0	+38	45
2	Ath Madrid	18	11	6	1	+19	39
3	Valencia	17	10	4	3	+19	34
4	Real Madrid	16	9	4	3	+16	31
5	Sevilla	17	9	2	6	-2	29
6	Villarreal	17	8	3	6	+4	27
7	Eibar	17	7	3	7	-7	24
8	Getafe	18	6	5	7	+4	23
9	Sociedad	17	6	5	6	+2	23
10	Girona	17	6	5	6	-5	23
11	Celta	17	6	3	8	+5	21
12	Ath Bilbao	17	5	6	6	-1	21
13	Leganes	16	6	3	7	-2	21
14	Betis	17	6	3	8	-6	21
15	Espanol	17	5	5	7	-7	20
16	Levante	17	3	9	5	-7	18
17	Alaves	17	5	0	12	-12	15
18	La Coruna	17	4	3	10	-15	15
19	Malaga	17	3	2	12	-18	11
20	Las Palmas	17	3	2	12	-25	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	1	0	+22	22
2	Valencia	9	6	2	1	+14	20
3	Sevilla	8	6	2	0	+10	20
4	Ath Madrid	8	5	3	0	+7	18
5	Real Madrid	9	5	2	2	+10	17
6	Eibar	9	5	2	2	+7	17
7	Getafe	9	5	1	3	+8	16
8	Espanol	9	5	1	3	+3	16
9	Betis	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Villarreal	7	4	1	2	+8	13
11	Sociedad	9	3	3	3	+2	12
12	Celta	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Leganes	7	3	2	2	+0	11
14	Girona	9	3	2	4	-3	11
15	Ath Bilbao	8	2	4	2	+0	10
16	Levante	10	2	4	4	-5	10
17	La Coruna	9	3	1	5	-6	10
18	Alaves	9	3	0	6	-6	9
19	Malaga	8	2	2	4	-5	8
20	Las Palmas	8	2	1	5	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	7	2	0	+16	23
2	Ath Madrid	10	6	3	1	+12	21
3	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Valencia	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Villarreal	10	4	2	4	-4	14
6	Girona	8	3	3	2	-2	12
7	Sociedad	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Ath Bilbao	9	3	2	4	-1	11
9	Celta	9	3	1	5	+4	10
10	Leganes	9	3	1	5	-2	10
11	Sevilla	9	3	0	6	-12	9
12	Levante	7	1	5	1	-2	8
13	Getafe	9	1	4	4	-4	7
14	Betis	8	2	1	5	-8	7
15	Eibar	8	2	1	5	-14	7
16	Alaves	8	2	0	6	-6	6
17	La Coruna	8	1	2	5	-9	5
18	Espanol	8	0	4	4	-10	4
19	Las Palmas	9	1	1	7	-14	4
20	Malaga	9	1	0	8	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.