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La Liga

Referee: Inaki Vicandi Garrido

Las Palmas

T T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Villarreal

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 39%

30%

48%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

56%

33%

Both score Ø 52%

63%

41%

Average goals

3,3

2,1

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,7

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

19 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 9

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Las Palmas 12. · Villarreal 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	26	19	5	2	+42	62
2	Barcelona	27	18	6	3	+54	60
3	Sevilla	27	17	6	4	+20	57
4	Ath Madrid	27	15	7	5	+27	52
5	Villarreal	27	13	9	5	+20	48
6	Sociedad	27	15	3	9	+4	48
7	Ath Bilbao	27	13	5	9	+4	44
8	Eibar	27	11	7	9	+5	40
9	Espanol	27	10	9	8	+1	39
10	Alaves	27	9	10	8	-5	37
11	Celta	26	10	5	11	-6	35
12	Las Palmas	27	8	8	11	-2	32
13	Valencia	27	8	6	13	-11	30
14	Betis	27	7	7	13	-15	28
15	La Coruna	27	6	9	12	-11	27
16	Malaga	27	6	8	13	-12	26
17	Leganes	27	6	7	14	-19	25
18	Granada	27	4	7	16	-31	19
19	Sp Gijon	27	4	6	17	-28	18
20	Osasuna	27	1	8	18	-37	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	11	3	0	+22	36
2	Ath Bilbao	14	10	3	1	+12	33
3	Sevilla	13	10	2	1	+13	32
4	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+30	30
5	Ath Madrid	13	9	2	2	+18	29
6	Villarreal	14	8	3	3	+13	27
7	Las Palmas	14	7	5	2	+12	26
8	Eibar	14	8	2	4	+6	26
9	Celta	13	8	1	4	+5	25
10	Sociedad	14	7	3	4	+2	24
11	Espanol	14	6	5	3	+7	23
12	Malaga	13	6	2	5	+2	20
13	La Coruna	13	5	4	4	+5	19
14	Betis	14	4	6	4	-2	18
15	Valencia	13	5	3	5	-4	18
16	Granada	13	4	4	5	+0	16
17	Alaves	13	3	7	3	-6	16
18	Leganes	13	3	4	6	-5	13
19	Sp Gijon	13	3	2	8	-13	11
20	Osasuna	14	0	5	9	-17	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	9	3	2	+24	30
2	Real Madrid	12	8	2	2	+20	26
3	Sevilla	14	7	4	3	+7	25
4	Sociedad	13	8	0	5	+2	24
5	Ath Madrid	14	6	5	3	+9	23
6	Villarreal	13	5	6	2	+7	21
7	Alaves	14	6	3	5	+1	21
8	Espanol	13	4	4	5	-6	16
9	Eibar	13	3	5	5	-1	14
10	Valencia	14	3	3	8	-7	12
11	Leganes	14	3	3	8	-14	12
12	Ath Bilbao	13	3	2	8	-8	11
13	Celta	13	2	4	7	-11	10
14	Betis	13	3	1	9	-13	10
15	La Coruna	14	1	5	8	-16	8
16	Sp Gijon	14	1	4	9	-15	7
17	Las Palmas	13	1	3	9	-14	6
18	Malaga	14	0	6	8	-14	6
19	Osasuna	13	1	3	9	-20	6
20	Granada	14	0	3	11	-31	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.