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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez

Celta

U U T T S

3–1

Full-time

Las Palmas

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Las Palmas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

4,2

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 27/28 matches

Win Ø 37%

41%

32%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

63%

54%

Both score Ø 55%

48%

61%

Average goals

3,1

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%

13 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

5 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 11. · Las Palmas 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	28	21	5	2	+46	68
2	Barcelona	29	20	6	3	+59	66
3	Ath Madrid	29	17	7	5	+31	58
4	Sevilla	29	17	7	5	+18	58
5	Sociedad	29	15	4	10	+3	49
6	Villarreal	29	13	9	7	+18	48
7	Ath Bilbao	29	14	5	10	+4	47
8	Eibar	29	12	8	9	+6	44
9	Espanol	29	11	10	8	+2	43
10	Alaves	29	10	10	9	-7	40
11	Celta	27	11	5	11	-5	38
12	Las Palmas	28	9	8	11	-1	35
13	Valencia	29	9	6	14	-10	33
14	Betis	29	8	7	14	-14	31
15	Malaga	29	6	9	14	-14	27
16	La Coruna	29	6	9	14	-15	27
17	Leganes	29	6	9	14	-19	27
18	Sp Gijon	29	5	7	17	-26	22
19	Granada	29	4	7	18	-36	19
20	Osasuna	29	1	8	20	-40	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	12	3	0	+25	39
2	Barcelona	14	10	3	1	+32	33
3	Sevilla	14	10	3	1	+13	33
4	Ath Bilbao	15	10	3	2	+11	33
5	Ath Madrid	14	10	2	2	+20	32
6	Las Palmas	15	8	5	2	+13	29
7	Villarreal	15	8	3	4	+12	27
8	Eibar	15	8	3	4	+6	27
9	Espanol	15	7	5	3	+8	26
10	Celta	13	8	1	4	+5	25
11	Sociedad	15	7	4	4	+2	25
12	Betis	15	5	6	4	+0	21
13	Valencia	14	6	3	5	-1	21
14	Malaga	14	6	2	6	+0	20
15	La Coruna	14	5	4	5	+4	19
16	Alaves	14	4	7	3	-5	19
17	Granada	14	4	4	6	-3	16
18	Leganes	14	3	5	6	-5	14
19	Sp Gijon	14	4	2	8	-11	14
20	Osasuna	15	0	5	10	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	10	3	2	+27	33
2	Real Madrid	13	9	2	2	+21	29
3	Ath Madrid	15	7	5	3	+11	26
4	Sevilla	15	7	4	4	+5	25
5	Sociedad	14	8	0	6	+1	24
6	Villarreal	14	5	6	3	+6	21
7	Alaves	15	6	3	6	-2	21
8	Eibar	14	4	5	5	+0	17
9	Espanol	14	4	5	5	-6	17
10	Ath Bilbao	14	4	2	8	-7	14
11	Celta	14	3	4	7	-10	13
12	Leganes	15	3	4	8	-14	13
13	Valencia	15	3	3	9	-9	12
14	Betis	14	3	1	10	-14	10
15	Sp Gijon	15	1	5	9	-15	8
16	La Coruna	15	1	5	9	-19	8
17	Malaga	15	0	7	8	-14	7
18	Las Palmas	13	1	3	9	-14	6
19	Osasuna	14	1	3	10	-22	6
20	Granada	15	0	3	12	-33	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.