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Championship
Referee: David Coote
1–0
Full-time
Cardiff
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Championship · 39/41 matches
Win Ø 42%
46%
37%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
44%
54%
Both score Ø 58%
56%
59%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 7. · Cardiff 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 41 26 8 7 +34 86
2 Newcastle 41 26 6 9 +39 84
3 Leeds 41 22 6 13 +16 72
4 Huddersfield 37 22 5 10 +6 71
5 Reading 38 21 7 10 +4 70
6 Fulham 39 17 13 9 +16 64
7 Sheffield Weds 39 18 9 12 +9 63
8 Derby 41 17 11 13 +7 62
9 Preston 41 16 13 12 +8 61
10 Norwich 41 17 9 15 +10 60
11 Aston Villa 41 15 13 13 +3 58
12 Brentford 41 16 8 17 +6 56
13 Barnsley 42 15 11 16 +1 56
14 Cardiff 41 15 10 16 -2 55
15 Wolves 40 14 9 17 -1 51
16 QPR 41 14 8 19 -8 50
17 Ipswich 41 11 16 14 -8 49
18 Birmingham 41 11 13 17 -19 46
19 Nott'm Forest 41 12 9 20 -10 45
20 Burton Albion 41 11 12 18 -14 45
21 Bristol City 41 12 8 21 -8 44
22 Wigan 42 10 10 22 -15 40
23 Blackburn 41 9 13 19 -16 40
24 Rotherham 41 4 5 32 -58 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Cardiff
42′
🟨 Junior Hoilett
Half-time 0–0
J. Rhodes 🔁
↦ G. Hooper
54′
F. Forestieri 🔁
↦ D. Jones
62′
A. Nuhiu 🔁
↦ S. Fletcher
74′
1–0 F. Forestieri
84′
86′
🔁 C. Noone
↦ G. Halford
86′
🔁 A. Pilkington
↦ G. Halford
88′
🔁 P. Whittingham
↦ J. Ralls
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

4-4-2
1 K. Westwood G
36 D. Pudil D
32 J. Hunt D
39 V. Sasso D
15 T. Lees D
9 A. Reach M
33 R. Wallace M
3 D. Jones M
41 B. Bannan M
6 S. Fletcher F
14 G. Hooper F
Bench (7)
17 J. Rhodes
45 F. Forestieri
44 A. Nuhiu
2 J. Wildsmith
10 C. McManaman
16 L. Palmer
24 Semedo

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Cardiff

4-1-4-1
1 A. McGregor G
15 G. Halford M
5 B. Écuélé Manga D
4 S. Morrison D
3 J. Bennett D
6 J. Richards D
17 A. Gunnarsson M
24 K. Harris M
8 J. Ralls M
33 J. Hoilett F
26 K. Zohorè F
Bench (7)
11 C. Noone
13 A. Pilkington
7 P. Whittingham
2 L. Peltier
16 M. Connolly
19 R. Lambert
28 B. Murphy

Coach: N. Warnock

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

David Coote · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.