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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Real Madrid

S S S S S

4–0

Full-time

Eibar

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

3,0

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-1,2

This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 50%

68%

32%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

71%

45%

Both score Ø 58%

58%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,9

1,4

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,9

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

61% Possession 39%

13 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Eibar 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	31	24	4	3	+61	76
2	Ath Madrid	31	22	4	5	+36	70
3	Real Madrid	31	21	6	4	+60	69
4	Villarreal	31	16	9	6	+13	57
5	Celta	31	14	7	10	-8	49
6	Ath Bilbao	31	14	6	11	+9	48
7	Sevilla	31	13	9	9	+7	48
8	Malaga	32	10	11	11	+1	41
9	Eibar	31	10	8	13	-1	38
10	Sociedad	31	10	8	13	-3	38
11	La Coruna	31	7	16	8	-4	37
12	Las Palmas	31	10	6	15	-9	36
13	Espanol	31	10	6	15	-25	36
14	Valencia	31	8	10	13	-4	34
15	Betis	31	8	10	13	-17	34
16	Vallecano	31	7	10	14	-20	31
17	Granada	32	7	9	16	-24	30
18	Sp Gijon	31	7	7	17	-20	28
19	Getafe	31	7	7	17	-26	28
20	Levante	31	6	7	18	-26	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	14	1	1	+43	43
2	Real Madrid	16	13	1	2	+46	40
3	Sevilla	16	13	0	3	+18	39
4	Ath Madrid	15	11	3	1	+19	36
5	Villarreal	16	11	3	2	+14	36
6	Ath Bilbao	15	8	4	3	+15	28
7	Celta	16	7	5	4	+2	26
8	Espanol	15	7	4	4	-7	25
9	Las Palmas	16	7	3	6	+4	24
10	Eibar	16	7	3	6	+3	24
11	Getafe	16	6	5	5	+7	23
12	Malaga	15	6	5	4	+7	23
13	Vallecano	16	6	4	6	-2	22
14	La Coruna	15	4	8	3	+5	20
15	Sociedad	15	5	5	5	+2	20
16	Valencia	15	4	7	4	+0	19
17	Levante	16	5	4	7	-5	19
18	Granada	16	4	5	7	-7	17
19	Sp Gijon	15	4	4	7	-4	16
20	Betis	15	3	6	6	-7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	16	11	1	4	+17	34
2	Barcelona	15	10	3	2	+18	33
3	Real Madrid	15	8	5	2	+14	29
4	Celta	15	7	2	6	-10	23
5	Villarreal	15	5	6	4	-1	21
6	Ath Bilbao	16	6	2	8	-6	20
7	Betis	16	5	4	7	-10	19
8	Sociedad	16	5	3	8	-5	18
9	Malaga	17	4	6	7	-6	18
10	La Coruna	16	3	8	5	-9	17
11	Valencia	16	4	3	9	-4	15
12	Eibar	15	3	5	7	-4	14
13	Granada	16	3	4	9	-17	13
14	Las Palmas	15	3	3	9	-13	12
15	Sp Gijon	16	3	3	10	-16	12
16	Espanol	16	3	2	11	-18	11
17	Sevilla	15	0	9	6	-11	9
18	Vallecano	15	1	6	8	-18	9
19	Levante	15	1	3	11	-21	6
20	Getafe	15	1	2	12	-33	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.