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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande

Eibar

T T T U U

1–2

Full-time

Villarreal

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

43%

40%

Both score Ø 49%

57%

40%

Average goals

2,8

2,1

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

10 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eibar 9. · Villarreal 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	31	24	4	3	+61	76
2	Ath Madrid	31	22	4	5	+36	70
3	Real Madrid	31	21	6	4	+60	69
4	Villarreal	30	15	9	6	+12	54
5	Celta	31	14	7	10	-8	49
6	Ath Bilbao	31	14	6	11	+9	48
7	Sevilla	30	13	9	8	+8	48
8	Malaga	31	10	10	11	+1	40
9	Eibar	30	10	8	12	+0	38
10	La Coruna	31	7	16	8	-4	37
11	Las Palmas	31	10	6	15	-9	36
12	Espanol	31	10	6	15	-25	36
13	Sociedad	30	9	8	13	-4	35
14	Valencia	31	8	10	13	-4	34
15	Betis	31	8	10	13	-17	34
16	Vallecano	31	7	10	14	-20	31
17	Granada	31	7	8	16	-24	29
18	Getafe	31	7	7	17	-26	28
19	Sp Gijon	30	7	6	17	-20	27
20	Levante	30	6	6	18	-26	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	14	1	1	+43	43
2	Real Madrid	16	13	1	2	+46	40
3	Sevilla	15	13	0	2	+19	39
4	Ath Madrid	15	11	3	1	+19	36
5	Villarreal	16	11	3	2	+14	36
6	Ath Bilbao	15	8	4	3	+15	28
7	Celta	16	7	5	4	+2	26
8	Espanol	15	7	4	4	-7	25
9	Eibar	15	7	3	5	+4	24
10	Las Palmas	16	7	3	6	+4	24
11	Getafe	16	6	5	5	+7	23
12	Malaga	15	6	5	4	+7	23
13	Vallecano	16	6	4	6	-2	22
14	La Coruna	15	4	8	3	+5	20
15	Sociedad	15	5	5	5	+2	20
16	Valencia	15	4	7	4	+0	19
17	Levante	15	5	3	7	-5	18
18	Sp Gijon	15	4	4	7	-4	16
19	Granada	15	4	4	7	-7	16
20	Betis	15	3	6	6	-7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	16	11	1	4	+17	34
2	Barcelona	15	10	3	2	+18	33
3	Real Madrid	15	8	5	2	+14	29
4	Celta	15	7	2	6	-10	23
5	Ath Bilbao	16	6	2	8	-6	20
6	Betis	16	5	4	7	-10	19
7	Villarreal	14	4	6	4	-2	18
8	Malaga	16	4	5	7	-6	17
9	La Coruna	16	3	8	5	-9	17
10	Valencia	16	4	3	9	-4	15
11	Sociedad	15	4	3	8	-6	15
12	Eibar	15	3	5	7	-4	14
13	Granada	16	3	4	9	-17	13
14	Las Palmas	15	3	3	9	-13	12
15	Sp Gijon	15	3	2	10	-16	11
16	Espanol	16	3	2	11	-18	11
17	Sevilla	15	0	9	6	-11	9
18	Vallecano	15	1	6	8	-18	9
19	Levante	15	1	3	11	-21	6
20	Getafe	15	1	2	12	-33	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.