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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

Sevilla

S U S T S

2–1

Full-time

Malaga

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

1,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 37%

42%

32%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

42%

21%

Both score Ø 34%

47%

21%

Average goals

2,5

1,5

Scored

1,4

0,7

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

8 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 4

5 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sevilla 7. · Malaga 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	19	14	2	3	+19	44
2	Barcelona	18	13	3	2	+29	42
3	Real Madrid	19	12	4	3	+34	40
4	Villarreal	19	12	3	4	+10	39
5	Celta	19	9	4	6	+1	31
6	Eibar	19	8	6	5	+7	30
7	Sevilla	19	8	5	6	+5	29
8	Ath Bilbao	19	8	4	7	+5	28
9	La Coruna	19	6	9	4	+3	27
10	Malaga	19	6	6	7	-1	24
11	Valencia	19	5	8	6	+4	23
12	Getafe	19	6	5	8	-6	23
13	Espanol	19	6	3	10	-13	21
14	Sociedad	19	5	5	9	-5	20
15	Betis	19	5	5	9	-15	20
16	Las Palmas	19	4	6	9	-8	18
17	Granada	19	4	5	10	-16	17
18	Sp Gijon	18	4	3	11	-13	15
19	Vallecano	19	4	3	12	-22	15
20	Levante	19	3	5	11	-18	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+25	28
2	Real Madrid	10	8	1	1	+25	25
3	Villarreal	10	8	1	1	+10	25
4	Sevilla	10	8	0	2	+11	24
5	Ath Madrid	9	7	1	1	+7	22
6	Getafe	10	5	3	2	+8	18
7	Eibar	10	5	3	2	+4	18
8	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+8	17
9	Valencia	9	3	6	0	+7	15
10	Malaga	9	4	3	2	+5	15
11	Las Palmas	10	4	3	3	+3	15
12	Espanol	9	4	3	2	-2	15
13	Celta	10	4	2	4	-1	14
14	La Coruna	9	3	4	2	+5	13
15	Sociedad	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Vallecano	10	3	2	5	-5	11
17	Levante	10	2	3	5	-6	9
18	Sp Gijon	8	2	2	4	-3	8
19	Granada	9	2	2	5	-8	8
20	Betis	9	1	3	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	10	7	1	2	+12	22
2	Celta	9	5	2	2	+2	17
3	Real Madrid	9	4	3	2	+9	15
4	Barcelona	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	Villarreal	9	4	2	3	+0	14
6	La Coruna	10	3	5	2	-2	14
7	Betis	10	4	2	4	-6	14
8	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+3	12
9	Ath Bilbao	10	3	2	5	-3	11
10	Sociedad	10	2	3	5	-4	9
11	Malaga	10	2	3	5	-6	9
12	Granada	10	2	3	5	-8	9
13	Valencia	10	2	2	6	-3	8
14	Sp Gijon	10	2	1	7	-10	7
15	Espanol	10	2	0	8	-11	6
16	Sevilla	9	0	5	4	-6	5
17	Levante	9	1	2	6	-12	5
18	Getafe	9	1	2	6	-14	5
19	Vallecano	9	1	1	7	-17	4
20	Las Palmas	9	0	3	6	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.