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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Levante
S T U T T
0–1
Full-time
Malaga
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
56%
25%
Both score Ø 32%
44%
19%
Average goals
2,6
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,6
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
7 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
7 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 20. · Malaga 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 11 2 2 +21 35
2 Ath Madrid 16 11 2 3 +14 35
3 Real Madrid 16 10 3 3 +27 33
4 Celta 16 9 4 3 +6 31
5 Villarreal 16 9 3 4 +6 30
6 La Coruna 16 6 8 2 +9 26
7 Ath Bilbao 16 7 3 6 +6 24
8 Sevilla 16 6 5 5 +2 23
9 Valencia 16 5 7 4 +7 22
10 Eibar 16 5 6 5 +0 21
11 Betis 16 5 5 6 -6 20
12 Espanol 16 6 2 8 -10 20
13 Malaga 16 4 5 7 -4 17
14 Sociedad 16 4 4 8 -5 16
15 Getafe 16 4 4 8 -8 16
16 Sp Gijon 15 4 3 8 -8 15
17 Granada 16 3 5 8 -10 14
18 Vallecano 16 4 2 10 -19 14
19 Las Palmas 16 3 4 9 -11 13
20 Levante 16 2 5 9 -17 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Malaga
1′
🟨 Juankar
Simao Mate 🟨
21′
Roger 🟨
35′
44′
🟨 Ignacio Camacho
Half-time 0–0
José Mari 🔁
↦ Juanfran
46′
Xumetra 🔁
↦ N. Ghilas
59′
59′
🔁 A. Boka
↦ Pablo Fornals
68′
🔁 J. Añor
↦ Juan Carlos
Jefferson Lerma 🟨
72′
Deyverson 🔁
↦ Rubén García
73′
73′
🔁 Duda
↦ D. Čop
David Navarro 🟨
77′
78′
Duda 0–1
84′
🟨 Duda
Pedro López 🟨
87′
Deyverson 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Nordin Amrabat
89′
🟨 Juanpi Añor
Nikos Karabelas 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Levante

25 Diego Mariño G
4 David Navarro
12 Juanfran D
19 Pedro López D
15 N. Karabelas
5 Simão Junior
10 Rubén García M
6 Víctor Camarasa M
8 J. Lerma M
23 N. Ghilas F
14 Roger Martí F
Bench (7)
22 José Mari
17 Xumetra
20 Deyverson
7 Verza
11 José Luis Morales
13 Rubén
16 Ángel Trujillo

Malaga

1 C. Kameni
3 Weligton D
18 R. Rosales D
7 Juan Carlos D
2 Albentosa D
6 Ignacio Camacho M
14 Recio M
31 Pablo Fornals M
11 N. Amrabat M
20 D. Čop F
9 Charles F
Bench (7)
19 A. Boka
28 J. Añor
17 Duda
13 G. Ochoa
21 E. Filipenko
24 R. Santa Cruz
39 Javier Ontiveros

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.