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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Las Palmas
T S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Malaga
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
22%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
39%
22%
Both score Ø 28%
39%
17%
Average goals
2,4
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
5 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 16. · Malaga 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 18 13 3 2 +29 42
2 Ath Madrid 18 13 2 3 +17 41
3 Real Madrid 19 12 4 3 +34 40
4 Villarreal 19 12 3 4 +10 39
5 Celta 18 9 4 5 +3 31
6 Sevilla 19 8 5 6 +5 29
7 Ath Bilbao 19 8 4 7 +5 28
8 Eibar 18 7 6 5 +6 27
9 La Coruna 19 6 9 4 +3 27
10 Valencia 19 5 8 6 +4 23
11 Malaga 18 6 5 7 -1 23
12 Getafe 19 6 5 8 -6 23
13 Espanol 18 6 3 9 -12 21
14 Sociedad 19 5 5 9 -5 20
15 Betis 19 5 5 9 -15 20
16 Las Palmas 18 4 5 9 -8 17
17 Granada 19 4 5 10 -16 17
18 Sp Gijon 18 4 3 11 -13 15
19 Vallecano 19 4 3 12 -22 15
20 Levante 19 3 5 11 -18 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Malaga
41′
🟨 Ignacio Camacho
Roque Mesa 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Tana
S. Araújo
51′
56′
🟨 Arthur Boka
Sergio Araujo 🟨
58′
58′
🔁 Duda
↦ J. Añor
Dani Castellano 🟨
61′
W. Mubarak 🔁
↦ S. Araújo
70′
72′
R. Santa Cruz 1–1
D. Čop
75′
🟨 Recio
76′
🔁 Pablo Fornals
↦ G. Castro
Willian José 🔁
↦ Tana
81′
Mubarak Wakaso 🟨
84′
Valerón 🔁
↦ N. El Zhar
84′
87′
🔁 Javi Ontiveros
↦ D. Čop
90′
🟨 Duda
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Las Palmas

13 Javi Varas
22 Javier Garrido
16 Aythami Artiles
23 Dani Castellano D
2 David Simón D
25 N. El Zhar M
4 Vicente Gómez M
15 Roque Mesa M
10 S. Araújo M
20 Jonathan Viera M
24 Tana M
Bench (7)
12 W. Mubarak
8 Willian José
21 Valerón
1 Raúl Lizoáin
5 David García
11 Momo
19 E. Culio

Malaga

1 C. Kameni
19 A. Boka D
3 Weligton D
18 R. Rosales D
2 Albentosa D
6 Ignacio Camacho M
14 Recio M
28 J. Añor M
24 R. Santa Cruz F
5 G. Castro M
20 D. Čop F
Bench (7)
17 Duda
31 Pablo Fornals
39 Javi Ontiveros
10 Ricardo Horta
13 G. Ochoa
15 M. Angeleri
21 E. Filipenko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.