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Pro League
Club Brugge
S S S T S
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 49%
71%
27%
Points per game
2,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,4
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Club Brugge 1. · Royal Excel Mouscron 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 14 10 1 3 +22 31
2 Oostende 14 9 3 2 +16 30
3 Gent 14 9 3 2 +16 30
4 Anderlecht 13 8 4 1 +11 28
5 St Truiden 18 7 2 9 -5 23
6 Genk 12 7 1 4 +4 22
7 Charleroi 14 6 4 4 +4 22
8 Waregem 13 6 3 4 +5 21
9 Mechelen 17 6 3 8 -6 21
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 21 5 4 12 -10 19
11 Standard 15 6 1 8 -11 19
12 Lokeren 16 5 3 8 -3 18
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 4 4 7 -3 16
14 Beveren 15 5 1 9 -10 16
15 Westerlo 21 3 7 11 -21 16
16 Kortrijk 14 2 6 6 -9 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Royal Excel Mouscron
1–0 B. Engels
L. Refaelov
31′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Diaby
H. Vanaken
50′
58′
🔁 J. Michel
↦ K. Tapoko
3–0 J. Vossen
A. Diaby
66′
Felipe Gedoz 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
73′
79′
🔁 F. Olinga
↦ F. Marquet
S. Coopman 🔁
↦ J. Vossen
80′
T. Dierckx 🔁
↦ A. Diaby
88′
89′
🔁 Tozé Marreco
↦ F. Marković
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Club Brugge

1 L. Butelle
19 T. Meunier
40 B. Engels
44 B. Mechele
21 D. Cools
25 R. Vormer
8 L. Refaelov
20 H. Vanaken
30 M. Agu
9 J. Vossen
10 A. Diaby
Bench (7)
18 Felipe Gedoz
43 S. Coopman
55 T. Dierckx
2 D. De fauw
3 T. Simons
16 S. Bruzzese
24 S. Denswil

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
25 M. Oussalah
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
55 C. Manea
19 T. Dingome
34 K. Tapoko
8 F. Marquet
44 M. Šćepović
18 F. Marković
27 Frederic Maciel
Bench (7)
10 J. Michel
98 F. Olinga
90 Tozé Marreco
5 D. Hubert
11 D. Mohamed
12 T. Rausin
23 M. Tirpan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.