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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Napoli
T U S S S
3–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 54%
63%
44%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
63%
44%
Both score Ø 57%
53%
61%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

65% Possession 35%
20 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Napoli 1. · Sassuolo 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 19 12 5 2 +23 41
2 Inter 20 12 4 4 +12 40
3 Juventus 19 12 3 4 +18 39
4 Fiorentina 19 12 2 5 +18 38
5 Roma 19 9 7 3 +14 34
6 Sassuolo 18 8 7 3 +6 31
7 Empoli 19 9 3 7 +1 30
8 Milan 19 8 5 6 +2 29
9 Lazio 19 8 3 8 -4 27
10 Chievo 19 7 5 7 +4 26
11 Torino 19 7 4 8 +1 25
12 Atalanta 20 7 4 9 -3 25
13 Udinese 19 7 3 9 -9 24
14 Sampdoria 19 6 5 8 -2 23
15 Bologna 19 7 1 11 -5 22
16 Palermo 19 6 3 10 -10 21
17 Genoa 19 5 4 10 -7 19
18 Frosinone 20 4 3 13 -23 15
19 Carpi 19 3 5 11 -17 14
20 Verona 19 0 8 11 -19 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Aug -15 Sassuolo – Napoli 2–1

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.