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Ligue 1
Referee: Johan Hamel
2–2
Full-time
Reims
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gazelec FC Ajaccio Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 28%
30%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
35%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gazelec FC Ajaccio 14. · Reims 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 21 18 3 0 +42 57
2 Angers 21 9 7 5 +7 34
3 Nice 21 9 6 6 +10 33
4 Monaco 20 8 9 3 +2 33
5 Caen 20 9 3 8 -3 30
6 Lyon 20 8 5 7 +3 29
7 St Etienne 20 9 2 9 -1 29
8 Rennes 20 6 10 4 +4 28
9 Lorient 20 6 9 5 +1 27
10 Nantes 20 7 6 7 -2 27
11 Marseille 20 6 8 6 +7 26
12 Bordeaux 20 6 8 6 -4 26
13 Lille 20 5 10 5 +2 25
14 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 20 6 7 7 -2 25
15 Montpellier 20 6 4 10 -4 22
16 Bastia 20 6 4 10 -6 22
17 Reims 20 5 6 9 -7 21
18 Guingamp 20 5 5 10 -10 20
19 Toulouse 21 4 8 9 -11 20
20 Troyes 20 0 8 12 -28 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gazelec FC Ajaccio Reims
1–0 K. Boutaïb
2′
22′
N. de Préville 1–1
T. Siebatcheu
31′
N. de Préville 1–2
F. Signorino
Half-time 1–2
K. Mayi 🔁
↦ K. Boutaïb
58′
D. Ducourtioux 🔁
↦ A. Youga
67′
2–2 D. Đoković
72′
John Tshibumbu 🟨
74′
78′
🔁 H. Kamara
↦ G. Charbonnier
Damjan Đoković 🟨
84′
G. Pujol 🔁
↦ J. Tshibumbu
84′
85′
🔁 Odaïr Fortes
↦ T. Siebatcheu
88′
🔁 A. Peuget
↦ N. de Préville
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Gazelec FC Ajaccio

1 C. Maury G
5 J. Bréchet D
15 K. Mangane D
29 A. Coeff M
3 Issiaga Sylla D
8 J. Le Moigne M
10 M. Larbi M
23 D. Đoković M
18 A. Youga M
24 J. Tshibumbu F
9 K. Boutaïb F
Bench (7)
7 K. Mayi
6 D. Ducourtioux
28 G. Pujol
40 P. Guerin
4 R. Filippi
20 L. Poggi
21 P. Martinez

Reims

30 J. Placide G
3 F. Signorino D
2 M. Fofana D
25 A. Weber D
23 A. Mandi D
27 H. Traoré D
4 J. Kankava M
8 P. Oniangué M
10 G. Charbonnier F
12 N. de Préville F
20 T. Siebatcheu F
Bench (7)
13 H. Kamara
7 Odaïr Fortes
19 A. Peuget
11 Diego
16 K. Agassa
22 M. Tacalfred
24 D. N'Gog

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Johan Hamel · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.