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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Eibar
S S U T T
1–1
Full-time
Valencia
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
36%
36%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Eibar 10. · Valencia 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 11 2 2 +21 35
2 Ath Madrid 14 10 2 2 +14 32
3 Real Madrid 14 9 3 2 +20 30
4 Celta 15 8 4 3 +4 28
5 Villarreal 14 7 3 4 +3 24
6 La Coruna 15 5 8 2 +7 23
7 Sevilla 15 6 4 5 +2 22
8 Ath Bilbao 14 6 3 5 +5 21
9 Valencia 14 5 5 4 +7 20
10 Eibar 14 5 5 4 +2 20
11 Betis 15 5 4 6 -6 19
12 Espanol 15 5 2 8 -11 17
13 Sociedad 15 4 4 7 -3 16
14 Getafe 15 4 3 8 -8 15
15 Sp Gijon 15 4 3 8 -8 15
16 Malaga 15 3 5 7 -5 14
17 Granada 15 3 5 7 -8 14
18 Vallecano 15 4 2 9 -11 14
19 Las Palmas 15 3 4 8 -10 13
20 Levante 15 2 5 8 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Valencia
Mauro Dos Santos 🟨
15′
31′
🟨 Rodrigo De Paul
1–0 Sergi Enrich
Ander Capa
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 P. Piatti
↦ R. de Paul
47′
🟨 Lucas Orbán
63′
🟥 Lucas Orbán
65′
🟨 Shkodran Mustafi
68′
🔁 José Gayá
↦ Danilo Barbosa
Ander Capa 🟨
69′
David Juncà 🟨
71′
Dani García 🟨
74′
76′
🔁 Negredo
↦ Barragán
Adrián 🔁
↦ Borja Bastón
78′
84′
🟨 Javi Fuego
T. Inui 🔁
↦ Saúl Berjón
85′
85′
André Gomes 1–1
Negredo
I. Hajrović 🔁
↦ Keko
89′
Iván Ramis 🟥
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Eibar

13 Asier Riesgo G
4 Ramis D
15 M. Dos Santos D
17 Juncà D
21 Saúl Berjón F
14 Dani García M
7 Ander Capa D
5 G. Escalante M
9 Sergi Enrich F
20 Keko M
18 Borja Bastón F
Bench (7)
24 Adrián
8 T. Inui
11 I. Hajrović
1 Xabi Irureta
3 A. Pantić
10 Mikel Arruabarrena
19 Luna

Valencia

24 Jaume Doménech G
19 Barragán M
23 A. Abdennour D
6 L. Orbán D
5 S. Mustafi D
2 João Cancelo D
18 Javi Fuego M
21 André Gomes M
20 R. de Paul M
12 Danilo Barbosa M
9 Paco Alcácer F
Bench (7)
11 P. Piatti
14 José Gayá
7 Negredo
3 Rúben Vezo
4 Aderllan Santos
22 Santi Mina
25 M. Ryan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.