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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Mota da Silva

Portimonense

S T T S U

4–3

Full-time

Moreirense

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 26%

30%

22%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

63%

48%

Both score Ø 56%

67%

44%

Average goals

3,1

2,3

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%

14 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 1

12 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 3

The table before the match Portimonense 10. · Moreirense 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	27	22	4	1	+56	70
2	Benfica	27	21	5	1	+55	68
3	Sp Lisbon	27	20	5	2	+36	65
4	Sp Braga	27	20	1	6	+38	61
5	Rio Ave	28	13	4	11	+0	43
6	Maritimo	28	12	6	10	-8	42
7	Boavista	28	11	4	13	-9	37
8	Chaves	27	10	6	11	-10	36
9	Guimaraes	27	10	3	14	-14	33
10	Portimonense	27	8	7	12	-7	31
11	Tondela	28	8	6	14	-9	30
12	Belenenses	27	7	8	12	-13	29
13	Vitoria Setubal	28	6	10	12	-16	28
14	Aves	28	6	7	15	-14	25
15	Moreirense	27	6	7	14	-17	25
16	Pacos Ferreira	27	6	7	14	-19	25
17	Feirense	28	7	2	19	-17	23
18	Estoril	28	6	4	18	-32	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	14	13	1	0	+35	40
2	Sp Lisbon	14	12	2	0	+25	38
3	Benfica	13	12	1	0	+37	37
4	Sp Braga	14	12	0	2	+24	36
5	Maritimo	14	9	3	2	+9	30
6	Rio Ave	14	9	2	3	+12	29
7	Boavista	14	9	1	4	+5	28
8	Guimaraes	13	7	2	4	-5	23
9	Vitoria Setubal	14	5	6	3	+2	21
10	Portimonense	13	6	2	5	+2	20
11	Belenenses	13	5	5	3	+2	20
12	Pacos Ferreira	13	5	4	4	-1	19
13	Chaves	14	4	5	5	-3	17
14	Feirense	14	5	1	8	-5	16
15	Moreirense	14	3	6	5	-4	15
16	Tondela	14	4	2	8	-5	14
17	Estoril	14	4	2	8	-12	14
18	Aves	14	3	3	8	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	14	9	4	1	+18	31
2	Porto	13	9	3	1	+21	30
3	Sp Lisbon	13	8	3	2	+11	27
4	Sp Braga	13	8	1	4	+14	25
5	Chaves	13	6	1	6	-7	19
6	Tondela	14	4	4	6	-4	16
7	Rio Ave	14	4	2	8	-12	14
8	Aves	14	3	4	7	-6	13
9	Maritimo	14	3	3	8	-17	12
10	Portimonense	14	2	5	7	-9	11
11	Guimaraes	14	3	1	10	-9	10
12	Moreirense	13	3	1	9	-13	10
13	Boavista	14	2	3	9	-14	9
14	Belenenses	14	2	3	9	-15	9
15	Estoril	14	2	2	10	-20	8
16	Feirense	14	2	1	11	-12	7
17	Vitoria Setubal	14	1	4	9	-18	7
18	Pacos Ferreira	14	1	3	10	-18	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.