← Match Finder
Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Hamburg
T T U U T
1–2
Full-time
Leverkusen
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Hamburg Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 30%
18%
41%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
41%
59%
Both score Ø 50%
36%
64%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 17. · Leverkusen 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 22 18 2 2 +36 56
2 RB Leipzig 22 11 5 6 +6 38
3 Dortmund 22 10 7 5 +18 37
4 Ein Frankfurt 22 10 6 6 +5 36
5 Leverkusen 22 9 8 5 +12 35
6 Schalke 04 22 9 7 6 +5 34
7 Augsburg 22 8 7 7 +4 31
8 Hoffenheim 22 8 7 7 +1 31
9 Hannover 22 8 7 7 -1 31
10 M'gladbach 22 9 4 9 -4 31
11 Hertha 23 7 9 7 +0 30
12 Freiburg 22 5 10 7 -14 25
13 Wolfsburg 22 4 12 6 -3 24
14 Stuttgart 22 7 3 12 -9 24
15 Werder Bremen 22 5 8 9 -6 23
16 Mainz 23 6 5 12 -13 23
17 Hamburg 22 4 5 13 -15 17
18 FC Koln 22 3 4 15 -22 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Sep -17 Leverkusen – Hamburg 3–0 3. Feb -17 Hamburg – Leverkusen 1–0 10. Sep -16 Leverkusen – Hamburg 3–1 13. Mar -16 Leverkusen – Hamburg 1–0 17. Oct -15 Hamburg – Leverkusen 0–0

Match report

Hamburg Leverkusen
Mërgim Mavraj 🟨
11′
16′
🔁 B. Henrichs
↦ Wendell
40′
⚽ L. Bailey 0–1
Half-time 0–1
A. Hahn 🔁
↦ M. Mavraj
46′
50′
⚽ K. Havertz 0–2
B. Henrichs
53′
🟨 Panagiotis Retsos
B. Wood 🔁
↦ J. Arp
54′
1–2 A. Hahn ⚽
Walace
70′
73′
🔁 L. Alario
↦ J. Brandt
Sejad Salihovic 🟨
77′
A. Hunt 🔁
↦ S. Salihović
79′
87′
🟨 Charles Aránguiz
88′
🔁 J. Baumgartlinger
↦ K. Havertz
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hamburg

3-4-1-2
1 C. Mathenia G
5 M. Mavraj D
9 K. Papadopoulos D
24 G. Sakai D
6 Douglas Santos D
28 G. Jung M
4 R. van Drongelen D
23 S. Salihović M
17 F. Kostić M
12 Walace M
40 J. Arp F
Bench (7)
11 A. Hahn
7 B. Wood
14 A. Hunt
2 D. Diekmeier
13 J. Pollersbeck
16 V. Janjičić
46 S. Ambrosius

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno G
5 S. Bender D
18 Wendell D
16 T. Jedvaj D
3 P. Retsos D
20 C. Aránguiz M
21 D. Kohr M
29 K. Havertz M
31 K. Volland F
10 J. Brandt M
9 L. Bailey M
Bench (7)
39 B. Henrichs
13 L. Alario
15 J. Baumgartlinger
17 J. Pohjanpalo
28 R. Özcan
37 M. Frey
38 K. Bellarabi

Coach: H. Herrlich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.