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Primeira Liga

Referee: Carlos Xistra

Benfica

S S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Guimaraes

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

3,2

0,8

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,8

-1,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 58%

78%

37%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

59%

67%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

2,6

1,3

Conceded

0,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%

14 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 6

9 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 2. · Guimaraes 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	27	22	4	1	+56	70
2	Benfica	27	21	5	1	+55	68
3	Sp Lisbon	27	20	5	2	+36	65
4	Sp Braga	27	20	1	6	+38	61
5	Rio Ave	28	13	4	11	+0	43
6	Maritimo	28	12	6	10	-8	42
7	Boavista	28	11	4	13	-9	37
8	Chaves	28	10	6	12	-12	36
9	Portimonense	28	9	7	12	-6	34
10	Guimaraes	27	10	3	14	-14	33
11	Tondela	28	8	6	14	-9	30
12	Belenenses	27	7	8	12	-13	29
13	Vitoria Setubal	28	6	10	12	-16	28
14	Pacos Ferreira	28	7	7	14	-17	28
15	Aves	28	6	7	15	-14	25
16	Moreirense	28	6	7	15	-18	25
17	Feirense	28	7	2	19	-17	23
18	Estoril	28	6	4	18	-32	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	14	13	1	0	+35	40
2	Sp Lisbon	14	12	2	0	+25	38
3	Benfica	13	12	1	0	+37	37
4	Sp Braga	14	12	0	2	+24	36
5	Maritimo	14	9	3	2	+9	30
6	Rio Ave	14	9	2	3	+12	29
7	Boavista	14	9	1	4	+5	28
8	Portimonense	14	7	2	5	+3	23
9	Guimaraes	13	7	2	4	-5	23
10	Pacos Ferreira	14	6	4	4	+1	22
11	Vitoria Setubal	14	5	6	3	+2	21
12	Belenenses	13	5	5	3	+2	20
13	Chaves	14	4	5	5	-3	17
14	Feirense	14	5	1	8	-5	16
15	Moreirense	14	3	6	5	-4	15
16	Tondela	14	4	2	8	-5	14
17	Estoril	14	4	2	8	-12	14
18	Aves	14	3	3	8	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	14	9	4	1	+18	31
2	Porto	13	9	3	1	+21	30
3	Sp Lisbon	13	8	3	2	+11	27
4	Sp Braga	13	8	1	4	+14	25
5	Chaves	14	6	1	7	-9	19
6	Tondela	14	4	4	6	-4	16
7	Rio Ave	14	4	2	8	-12	14
8	Aves	14	3	4	7	-6	13
9	Maritimo	14	3	3	8	-17	12
10	Portimonense	14	2	5	7	-9	11
11	Guimaraes	14	3	1	10	-9	10
12	Moreirense	14	3	1	10	-14	10
13	Boavista	14	2	3	9	-14	9
14	Belenenses	14	2	3	9	-15	9
15	Estoril	14	2	2	10	-20	8
16	Feirense	14	2	1	11	-12	7
17	Vitoria Setubal	14	1	4	9	-18	7
18	Pacos Ferreira	14	1	3	10	-18	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.