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Bundesliga

Referee: Daniel Siebert

Werder Bremen

U S S S T

3–5

Full-time

Hoffenheim

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,0

Scored

2,7

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 44%

41%

47%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

75%

53%

Both score Ø 71%

75%

66%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

49% Possession 51%

16 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 9

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 8. · Hoffenheim 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	32	23	7	2	+63	76
2	RB Leipzig	32	20	6	6	+28	66
3	Dortmund	32	17	9	6	+31	60
4	Hoffenheim	32	15	13	4	+25	58
5	Freiburg	32	14	5	13	-15	47
6	Hertha	32	14	4	14	-2	46
7	FC Koln	32	11	12	9	+7	45
8	Werder Bremen	32	13	6	13	+0	45
9	M'gladbach	32	12	7	13	-4	43
10	Schalke 04	32	11	8	13	+5	41
11	Ein Frankfurt	32	11	8	13	-5	41
12	Leverkusen	32	10	7	15	-6	37
13	Augsburg	32	9	9	14	-16	36
14	Wolfsburg	32	10	6	16	-17	36
15	Mainz	32	9	7	16	-11	34
16	Hamburg	32	9	7	16	-29	34
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	32	8	6	18	-21	30
18	Darmstadt	32	7	3	22	-33	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	12	4	0	+43	40
2	Dortmund	16	12	4	0	+28	40
3	Hoffenheim	16	11	5	0	+21	38
4	RB Leipzig	16	12	2	2	+20	38
5	Hertha	16	12	1	3	+13	37
6	Freiburg	16	10	1	5	-1	31
7	FC Koln	16	8	6	2	+10	30
8	Schalke 04	16	8	4	4	+14	28
9	Ein Frankfurt	16	7	6	3	+6	27
10	M'gladbach	16	7	4	5	+8	25
11	Werder Bremen	16	8	1	7	+6	25
12	Hamburg	16	7	4	5	-5	25
13	Mainz	16	6	4	6	+2	22
14	Darmstadt	16	6	3	7	-5	21
15	Leverkusen	16	5	5	6	-1	20
16	Augsburg	16	5	5	6	-3	20
17	Wolfsburg	16	5	2	9	-10	17
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	16	4	4	8	-9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	11	3	2	+20	36
2	RB Leipzig	16	8	4	4	+8	28
3	Hoffenheim	16	4	8	4	+4	20
4	Dortmund	16	5	5	6	+3	20
5	Werder Bremen	16	5	5	6	-6	20
6	Wolfsburg	16	5	4	7	-7	19
7	M'gladbach	16	5	3	8	-12	18
8	Leverkusen	16	5	2	9	-5	17
9	Augsburg	16	4	4	8	-13	16
10	Freiburg	16	4	4	8	-14	16
11	FC Koln	16	3	6	7	-3	15
12	Ein Frankfurt	16	4	2	10	-11	14
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	16	4	2	10	-12	14
14	Schalke 04	16	3	4	9	-9	13
15	Mainz	16	3	3	10	-13	12
16	Hertha	16	2	3	11	-15	9
17	Hamburg	16	2	3	11	-24	9
18	Darmstadt	16	1	0	15	-28	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.