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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Man City
S U S U S
1–3
Full-time
Leicester
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
This season — Premier League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 58%
58%
58%
Points per game
2,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
63%
58%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
22 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Man City 2. · Leicester 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leicester 24 14 8 2 +18 50
2 Man City 24 14 5 5 +23 47
3 Tottenham 24 12 9 3 +25 45
4 Arsenal 24 13 6 5 +15 45
5 Man United 24 11 7 6 +10 40
6 West Ham 24 10 9 5 +10 39
7 Southampton 24 9 7 8 +8 34
8 Liverpool 24 9 7 8 -4 34
9 Watford 24 9 6 9 +1 33
10 Stoke 24 9 6 9 -4 33
11 Everton 24 7 11 6 +9 32
12 Crystal Palace 24 9 4 11 -4 31
13 Chelsea 24 7 8 9 -2 29
14 West Brom 24 7 8 9 -8 29
15 Bournemouth 24 7 7 10 -10 28
16 Swansea 24 6 8 10 -9 26
17 Norwich 24 6 5 13 -18 23
18 Newcastle 24 5 6 13 -19 21
19 Sunderland 24 5 4 15 -19 19
20 Aston Villa 24 2 7 15 -22 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Dec -15 Leicester – Man City 0–0

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.