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Primeira Liga
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Tondela
T T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Guimaraes
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
10%
40%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
55%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
19 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
6 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tondela 18. · Guimaraes 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 21 17 1 3 +45 52
2 Sp Lisbon 20 16 3 1 +29 51
3 Porto 20 14 4 2 +28 46
4 Sp Braga 20 10 6 4 +19 36
5 Pacos Ferreira 20 8 6 6 +5 30
6 Guimaraes 20 8 6 6 -1 30
7 Rio Ave 20 8 4 8 -2 28
8 Vitoria Setubal 21 6 8 7 -6 26
9 Arouca 20 5 10 5 +0 25
10 Belenenses 21 6 7 8 -19 25
11 Estoril 20 6 5 9 -6 23
12 U. Madeira 20 6 5 9 -10 23
13 Maritimo 21 6 4 11 -12 22
14 Nacional 20 5 5 10 -8 20
15 Moreirense 20 5 5 10 -12 20
16 Boavista 20 4 5 11 -13 17
17 Academica 20 4 5 11 -17 17
18 Tondela 20 2 3 15 -20 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Sep -15 Guimaraes – Tondela 1–0

Match report

Tondela Guimaraes
2′
Licá 0–1
16′
🟨 Josué Sa
1–1 Nathan Junior
24′
42′
🔁 Victor Andrade
↦ Alexandre Silva
Romario Baldé 🟨
43′
Lucas Souza 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
Bruno Nascimento 🟨
57′
60′
🟨 Henrique Dourado
68′
🟨 Victor Andrade
Hélder Tavares 🔁
↦ Karl
69′
Junior Randal Oto O Zue 🟨
71′
76′
🔁 Oriol Rosell
↦ B. Saré
76′
🔁 Bruno Mendes
↦ Licá
77′
🟨 Bruno Mendes
79′
🟨 Bruno Gaspar
E. Moreno 🔁
↦ Romário Baldé
82′
Wagner 🔁
↦ J. Murillo
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tondela

13 Zubikarai
14 S. Thicot D
17 Nuno Santos
2 Bruno Nascimento D
42 J. Oto'o
27 Bruno Monteiro M
77 Karl M
6 Lucas Souza M
11 Nathan Junior F
45 Romário Baldé F
15 J. Murillo F
Bench (7)
41 Hélder Tavares
16 E. Moreno
28 Wagner
1 Claudio Ramos
4 Kaká
18 B. Sebaihi
48 Wanderson Cunha

Guimaraes

56 João Miguel G
3 Josué Sá D
2 Pedrão D
76 Bruno Gaspar D
93 Dalbert Henrique D
99 B. Saré M
26 Cafú M
52 Otavinho M
11 Licá F
89 Henrique Dourado F
45 Alexandre Silva F
Bench (7)
28 Victor Andrade
25 Oriol Rosell
38 Bruno Mendes
1 Douglas Jesus
5 Luís Rocha
70 Tozé
15 João Afonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.