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Conference League
Referee: Paul McLaughlin
Magpies
T S T T T
2–3
Full-time
Paide
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magpies Paide
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Magpies Paide
8′
⚽ R. Saarma 0–1
1–1 J. Britto ⚽
K. Krasniqi
38′
43′
⚽ M. Miller 1–2
R. Saarma
Half-time 1–2
48′
🟨 Joseph Saliste
2–2 J. Del Rio ⚽
54′
L. Clinton 🔁
↦ H. Stevens
64′
S. Fernandez 🔁
↦ M. Campana
64′
64′
🔁 P. Corr
↦ S. Reinkort
V. Parkes 🔁
↦ J. Del Rio
75′
75′
🔁 O. Hoim
↦ L. Gilmore
Jeremy Perera 🟨
76′
88′
🔁 P. A. Cham
↦ M. Lilander
88′
🔁 S. Luts
↦ D. Luts
90′
⚽ R. Saarma 2–3
91′
🟨 Martin Miller
J. Mendez 🔁
↦ D. Borge
93′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Magpies

4-3-3
1 S. Funez G
4 J. Britto
32 K. Ronco
24 F. M. Villar D
2 E. Busto D
15 H. Stevens M
14 J. Perera M
17 K. Krasniqi M
10 J. Del Rio F
9 D. Borge F
23 M. Campana
Bench (9)
12 D. Tudela
3 A. Parody
6 A. Hernandez
8 E. De Haro
11 C. Dominguez
16 L. Clinton
19 J. Mendez
20 V. Parkes
21 S. Fernandez

Coach: Youri Loen

Paide

99 E. Jarju G
2 M. Lilander D
23 M. Delevic D
5 G. Juhkam D
29 J. Saliste D
6 L. Gilmore M
10 M. Miller M
25 M. Gueye M
77 D. Luts M
9 S. Reinkort F
14 R. Saarma F
Bench (10)
12 M. Meerits
70 R. Isakar
7 P. Corr
15 H. Ojamaa
17 P. A. Cham
19 S. Luts
20 M. Suso
22 S. Soo
27 N. Baranov
28 O. Hoim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.