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Conference League
Referee: Igor Boșca
Tre Fiori
S S T U
1–0
Full-time
Pyunik Yerevan
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tre Fiori Pyunik Yerevan
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Tre Fiori Pyunik Yerevan
Matteo Prandelli 🟨
5′
24′
🟨 Sargis Metoyan
Matteo Manfroni 🟨
35′
Mario Ferri 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
L. Braschi 🔁
↦ M. Ferri
46′
A. Pini 🔁
↦ G. Matteoni
61′
1–0 M. Manfroni ⚽
M. Prandelli
63′
68′
🔁 N. Kainourgios
↦ G. Tarakhchyan
68′
🔁 J. Moreno Sanchez
↦ A. Miljkovic
68′
🔁 D. Aghbalyan
↦ D. Kulikov
Alessandro Pini 🟨
70′
73′
🔁 M. Noubissi
↦ S. Metoyan
A. Guerra 🔁
↦ M. Manfroni
75′
81′
🔁 E. Malakyan
↦ V. Goncalves
C. Boldini 🔁
↦ P. Vandi
87′
F. Ciccione 🔁
↦ L. Censoni
87′
88′
🟨 Edgar Malakyan
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Tre Fiori

3-5-2
17 M. Nardi G
2 G. Matteoni D
5 S. Rea D
23 A. Sirri D
36 M. Manfroni M
20 F. Benedettini M
8 L. Censoni M
16 F. Dolcini M
12 P. Vandi
77 M. Ferri F
9 M. Prandelli F
Bench (8)
24 M. Berardi
25 A. Castagnoli
6 C. Boldini
7 F. Ciccione
11 A. Pini
13 L. Braschi
14 T. Rastelli
26 A. Guerra

Coach: Danilo Girolomoni

Pyunik Yerevan

16 H. Avagyan G
26 A. Miljkovic D
76 F. Almeida D
79 S. Vakulenko D
2 Alemao D
22 S. Islamovic M
14 Y. Otubanjo
25 D. Kulikov M
23 V. Goncalves M
19 S. Metoyan F
8 G. Tarakhchyan M
Bench (11)
71 S. Buchnev
3 N. Kainourgios
4 S. Udo
7 E. Malakyan
9 M. Vareika
10 J. Moreno Sanchez
11 J. Bopesu
13 D. Aghbalyan
15 M. Kovalenko
21 S. Galstyan
99 M. Noubissi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.