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Conference League
Referee: Marius Grotta
Valur Reykjavik
U S U T
3–0
Full-time
Flora Tallinn
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valur Reykjavik Flora Tallinn
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 21%
25%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Valur Reykjavik Flora Tallinn
1–0 T. Magnusson ⚽
12′
2–0 T. Magnusson ⚽
T. Haraldsson
40′
3–0 J. Jonsson ⚽
P. Pedersen
45′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 A. Kaares
↦ G. Roivassepp
A. Skoglund 🔁
↦ P. Pedersen
68′
Bjarni Mark Antonsson 🟨
69′
71′
🟨 Kristo Hussar
75′
🔁 M. Lukka
↦ K. Hussar
75′
🔁 S. Zenjov
↦ D. Kuraksin
L. Heimisson 🔁
↦ K. Sigurdsson
79′
A. Palsson 🔁
↦ T. Haraldsson
79′
J. Palsson 🔁
↦ S. Larusson
79′
82′
🟨 Markus Poom
82′
🔁 R. Alliku
↦ N. Mihhailov
A. Hoti 🔁
↦ J. Jonsson
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Valur Reykjavik

4-4-1-1
18 F. Schram G
20 O. Omarsson D
4 M. Nakkim D
15 H. Eyjolfsson D
11 S. Larusson D
8 J. Jonsson M
2 T. Magnusson M
6 B. Antonsson D
12 T. Haraldsson M
10 K. Sigurdsson M
9 P. Pedersen
Bench (11)
25 S. Agustsson
95 S. Johannesson
14 A. Skoglund
16 S. Stefansson
17 L. Heimisson
19 O. Kjartansson
23 A. Palsson
30 M. Kjeld
33 A. Hoti
97 B. Jonsson
21 J. Palsson

Coach: Srdjan Tufegdzic

Flora Tallinn

33 E. Grunvald G
26 K. Hussar D
16 E. Tougjas D
23 M. Kolobov D
28 S. Tovstik D
10 M. Poom M
30 T. Teevali M
13 N. Mihhailov M
7 D. Kuraksin M
11 R. Sappinen F
17 G. Roivassepp M
Bench (10)
77 K. Lapa
99 K. Kivila
2 N. Kalmokov
4 M. Lukka
5 A. Vaher
6 R. Veering
9 R. Alliku
20 S. Zenjov
21 A. Kaares
89 M. Kalimullin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Marius Grotta · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.