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Conference League
Referee: Antoine Chiaramonti
Paide
U T S U T
4–0
Full-time
Stjarnan
S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paide Stjarnan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Jul -24 Stjarnan – Paide 2–1

Match report

Paide Stjarnan
1–0 Henrik Ojamaa ⚽
29′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 R. Saarma ⚽
46′
3–0 A. Ceesay ⚽
57′
60′
🔁 H. Brink
↦ H. Halldórsson
60′
🔁 J. Gunnarsson
↦ K. Kjartansson
64′
🔁 A. Birgisson
↦ R. Þorkelsson
64′
🔁 D. Laxdal
↦ S. Ingimarsson
M. Gomis 🔁
↦ A. Ceesay
68′
D. Jepihhin 🔁
↦ R. Saarma
74′
O. Hõim 🔁
↦ P. Medić
74′
77′
🟨 Helgi Fróði Ingason
Mechini Gomis 🟨
78′
Patrik Kristal 🟨
82′
G. Juhkam 🔁
↦ D. Luts
82′
82′
🔁 J. Barkarson
↦ Þ. Valdimarsson
83′
🟨 Guðmundur Kristjánsson
4–0 M. Lilander ⚽
84′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Paide

4-2-3-1
99 E. Jarju G
2 M. Lilander D
23 M. Delević D
27 N. Baranov D
29 J. Saliste D
16 P. Medić M
6 P. Kristal M
41 D. Luts M
14 R. Saarma F
8 Henrik Ojamaa M
20 A. Ceesay F
Bench (12)
11 M. Gomis
17 D. Jepihhin
28 O. Hõim
5 G. Juhkam
15 Hindrek Ojamaa
10 A. Frolov
19 S. Luts
9 K. Piht
1 M. Aksalu
56 M. Sapp
24 M. Suso
25 Mouhamed Guèye I

Coach: I. Stojković

Stjarnan

5-4-1
13 M. Rosenørn G
30 K. Kjartansson M
5 G. Kristjánsson D
6 S. Ingimarsson D
15 Þ. Valdimarsson D
32 Ö. Örvarsson D
7 Ö. Eggertsson M
35 H. Ingason M
10 H. Halldórsson M
80 R. Þorkelsson M
22 E. Atlason F
Bench (10)
37 H. Brink
8 J. Gunnarsson
11 A. Birgisson
9 D. Laxdal
14 J. Barkarson
24 S. Jónsson
19 D. Matthíasson
41 A. Gudjónsson
12 Á. Ólafsson
33 V. Oddgeirsson

Coach: J. Elísabetarson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.