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Conference League
Referee: Antoine Chiaramonti
Derry City
S U T S T
2–1
Full-time
Magpies
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derry City Magpies
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
40%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
33%
60%
Both score Ø 47%
33%
60%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Jul -24 Magpies – Derry City 2–0

Match report

Derry City Magpies
Adam O'Reilly 🟨
25′
Pat Hoban 🟨
30′
32′
🟨 Jack Storer
1–0 M. Connolly ⚽
38′
Adam O'Reilly 🟨
45′
Adam O'Reilly 🟥
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. De Haro
↦ J. Storer
Daniel Kelly 🟨
49′
51′
🟨 Juanje
2–0 P. Hoban ⚽
57′
58′
🔁 L. Coombes
↦ F. Zúñiga
60′
🔁 Edu Salles
↦ Javi Forján
64′
🟨 Rubén Díaz
S. Diallo 🔁
↦ C. Dummigan
79′
Paul McMullan 🟨
80′
D. Mullen 🔁
↦ M. Duffy
81′
Mark Connolly 🟨
85′
S. Todd 🔁
↦ M. Connolly
90′
S. McEleney 🔁
↦ D. Kelly
90′
93′
🟨 Kevagn Ronco
94′
🟨 Evan de Haro
98′
🟨 Lee Coombes
99′
🔁 Christian Orihuela
↦ K. Ronco
Sadou Diallo 🟨
103′
C. Whelan 🔁
↦ B. Doherty
105′
111′
⚽ E. De Haro 2–1
112′
🔁 J. del Rio
↦ Carlos García
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Derry City

4-2-3-1
1 B. Maher G
23 C. Dummigan D
6 M. Connolly D
3 C. Coll D
14 B. Doherty D
28 A. O'Reilly M
8 W. Patching M
27 D. Kelly M
12 P. McMullan M
7 M. Duffy M
9 P. Hoban F
Bench (9)
15 S. Diallo
21 D. Mullen
24 S. Todd
16 S. McEleney
11 C. Whelan
40 C. McCay
26 T. Ryan
30 E. Ovendale
19 J. Davenport

Coach: R. Higgins

Magpies

4-3-3
23 D. Coleing G
32 K. Ronco M
4 Rubén Díaz D
3 A. Taylor D
5 F. Zúñiga D
9 J. Storer F
8 Carlos García M
6 Álex Carrascal M
77 O. Bayode F
11 Javi Forján F
7 Juanje Argüez M
Bench (10)
16 E. De Haro
15 L. Coombes
10 Edu Salles
22 Christian Orihuela
31 J. del Rio
44 A. Hernandez
19 F. Villar
33 H. Stevens
13 C. Fraiz
1 M. Zappacosta

Coach: N. Rooney

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.