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Europa League
Referee: Marc Nagtegaal
Shakhtar Donetsk
S T T S T
6–0
Full-time
Ilves
S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk Ilves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
67%
75%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk Ilves
1–0 Alisson ⚽
26′
2–0 Kaua Elias ⚽
Alisson
43′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 Alisson ⚽
47′
O. Ocheretko 🔁
↦ G. Sudakov
58′
Pedrinho 🔁
↦ A. Bondarenko
58′
63′
🔁 V. Ulundu
↦ K. Wallius
63′
🔁 J. Kanga
↦ M. Stjopin
V. Tobias 🔁
↦ Y. Konoplya
72′
Newerton 🔁
↦ Kaua Elias
72′
4–0 Kevin ⚽
Alisson
74′
78′
🔁 T. Hytonen
↦ R. Riski
78′
🔁 L. Ala-Myllymaki
↦ J. Veteli
Y. Nazaryna 🔁
↦ Marlon Gomes
85′
5–0 Pedrinho ⚽
Alisson
87′
6–0 Newerton ⚽
89′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
31 D. Riznyk G
26 Y. Konoplya D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matviienko D
13 P. Henrique D
6 Marlon Gomes M
30 Alisson M
21 A. Bondarenko M
10 G. Sudakov M
11 Kevin M
19 Kaua Elias F
Bench (12)
23 K. Fesyun
34 R. Bahlai
2 L. Traore
7 Eguinaldo
9 M. Shved
16 I. Azarovi
17 V. Tobias
18 A. Ghram
27 O. Ocheretko
29 Y. Nazaryna
38 Pedrinho
39 Newerton

Coach: Arda Turan

Ilves

3-4-3
1 O. Virtanen G
22 A. Maenpaa D
5 S. Vaisanen D
3 M. Rale D
13 K. Wallius M
14 A. Popovitch M
7 J. Veteli M
19 O. Jukkola M
17 M. Soderback M
10 R. Riski F
8 M. Stjopin M
Bench (9)
12 F. Krkalic
32 L. Vayrynen
9 T. Hytonen
15 L. Ala-Myllymaki
16 T. Miettunen
18 V. Ulundu
27 A. Akinyemi
30 J. Kanga
42 F. Aspegren

Coach: Joonas Rantanen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Marc Nagtegaal · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.