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Europa League
Referee: Dalibor Cerny
Legia
S T S T U
1–0
Full-time
Aktobe
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Aktobe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Legia Aktobe
1–0 V. Bichakhchyan
P. Wszolek
25′
36′
🔁 D. Usenov
↦ U. Agbo
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 A. Doumbouya
↦ O. Omirtaev
63′
🟨 Vyacheslav Shvyrev
K. Chodyna 🔁
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
64′
M. Alfarela 🔁
↦ R. Morishita
73′
I. Shkurin 🔁
↦ M. Gual
73′
79′
🔁 E. Seydakhmet
↦ G. Zhukov
79′
🔁 A. Baydavletov
↦ V. Shvyrev
W. Urbanski 🔁
↦ B. Kapustka
81′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Legia

4-3-3
1 K. Tobiasz G
7 P. Wszolek D
12 R. Pankov D
3 S. Kapuadi D
23 P. Kun M
67 B. Kapustka M
8 R. Augustyniak M
22 J. Elitim M
21 V. Bichakhchyan M
28 M. Gual F
25 R. Morishita M
Bench (11)
27 G. Kobylak
4 M. Burch
9 M. Alfarela
11 K. Chodyna
17 I. Shkurin
18 J. Nsame
20 J. Zewlakow
24 J. Ziolkowski
51 P. Mozie
53 W. Urbanski
55 A. Jedrzejczyk

Coach: Edward Marius Iordănescu

Aktobe

25 A. Vlad G
5 B. Kairov D
15 G. Kiki D
26 N. Andjelkovic D
14 V. Shvyrev F
30 N. Korzun M
4 U. Agbo M
18 J. Jean M
88 B. Vatajelu D
20 G. Zhukov M
19 O. Omirtaev F
Bench (7)
1 I. Trofimets
2 L. Skvortsov
12 A. Doumbouya
22 E. Seydakhmet
29 D. Usenov
31 A. Tanzharikov
42 A. Baydavletov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.