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Conference League
Referee: D Nikolić
Paide
T T U T S
1–1
Full-time
Bala Town
T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paide Bala Town
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Jul -24 Bala Town – Paide 1–2

Match report

Paide Bala Town
12′
⚽ N. Peate 0–1
Patrik Kristal 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
Joseph Saliste 🟨
46′
T. Agyepong 🔁
↦ A. Ceesay
46′
47′
🟨 Joel Torrance
D. Jepihhin 🔁
↦ R. Saarma
74′
80′
🔁 J. Ukek
↦ Lassana Mendes
D. Luts 🔁
↦ S. Luts
83′
O. Hõim 🔁
↦ P. Medić
84′
87′
🔁 N. Arsan
↦ L. Robles
106′
🟨 Nathan Peate
106′
🔁 J. Malkin
↦ G. Newell
110′
🟨 Nathan Peate
110′
🟨 Alex Downes
110′
🟥 Nathan Peate
111′
🔁 U. Kargbo
↦ A. Edwards
Milan Delević 🟨
118′
120′
🟨 Naim Arsan
1–1 O. Hõim ⚽
121′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Paide

3-4-3
99 E. Jarju G
2 M. Lilander D
5 G. Juhkam D
29 J. Saliste D
6 P. Kristal M
16 P. Medić M
23 M. Delević D
8 Henrik Ojamaa M
14 R. Saarma F
20 A. Ceesay F
19 S. Luts M
Bench (12)
80 T. Agyepong
17 D. Jepihhin
41 D. Luts
28 O. Hõim
27 N. Baranov
56 M. Sapp
1 M. Aksalu
7 H. Riiberg
9 K. Piht
10 A. Frolov
15 Hindrek Ojamaa
24 M. Suso

Coach: I. Stojković

Bala Town

4-3-3
1 J. Torrance G
23 R. White D
4 N. Peate D
24 K. Harrison D
2 A. Downes D
12 O. Abadaki M
6 A. Edwards M
27 K. Smith M
7 Lassana Mendes M
9 G. Newell F
18 L. Robles M
Bench (6)
11 J. Ukek
28 N. Arsan
10 J. Malkin
3 U. Kargbo
15 D. Clark
14 K. Petro

Coach: C. Caton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.