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Conference League
Referee: H Jónasson
Magpies
2–1
Full-time
Crusaders FC

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

5 Corners 5
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Magpies Crusaders FC
Lee Coombes 🟨
30′
36′
🟨 Billy Joe Burns
1–0 D. Bent ⚽
44′
James Coombes 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Jarlath O'Rourke
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Lecky
↦ D. Ebbe
2–0 Pibe ⚽
48′
I. Ayew 🔁
↦ K. Ronco
62′
63′
⚽ J. Forsythe 2–1
Kyle Casciaro 🟨
66′
66′
🔁 J. McMurray
↦ J. Winchester
Olmo González 🔁
↦ J. Coombes
70′
K. Morgan 🔁
↦ Pibe
70′
Renan Bernardes 🔁
↦ L. Coombes
76′
Galán 🟨
81′
Kelvin Morgan 🟨
82′
85′
🔁 J. Owens
↦ R. Weir
92′
🟨 Ross Clarke
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Magpies

4-3-3
1 M. Silva G
32 K. Ronco F
4 Rubén Díaz D
5 F. Zúñiga D
3 L. Coombes D
19 D. Bent D
21 José Galán M
8 J. Coombes F
77 O. Bayode F
39 Pibe F
11 K. Casciaro F
Bench (9)
2 I. Ayew
6 Olmo González
9 K. Morgan
14 Renan Bernardes
13 David Zamora
33 A. Parker
10 Javi Casares
16 E. De Haro
17 D. Peacock

Coach: N. Rooney

Crusaders FC

3-5-2
33 J. Tuffey G
14 J. Forsythe M
2 B. Burns D
20 D. Larmour D
15 J. O'Rourke M
25 R. Clarke F
19 J. Winchester M
22 P. Heatley F
7 P. Lowry M
6 R. Weir M
10 D. Ebbe M
Bench (8)
9 A. Lecky
27 J. McMurray
18 J. Owens
11 B. Doyle
23 R. McKeown
36 M. Pauley
17 L. Patterson
43 L. Barr

Coach: S. Baxter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.