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Conference League
Referee: K Hämäläinen
Crusaders FC
T
3–1
Full-time
Magpies
S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crusaders FC Magpies
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

7 Corners 2
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Jul -22 Magpies – Crusaders FC 2–1

Match report

Crusaders FC Magpies
1–0 P. Heatley ⚽
33′
34′
🟨 Dan Bent
38′
⚽ K. Casciaro 1–1
Half-time 1–1
A. Lecky 🔁
↦ J. Owens
46′
48′
🟨 Francisco Zúñiga
68′
🟨 Rubén Díaz
73′
🔁 Olmo González
↦ J. Coombes
Jordan Forsythe 🟨
77′
J. Winchester 🔁
↦ P. Lowry
79′
J. McMurray 🔁
↦ R. Clarke
79′
2–1 J. Winchester ⚽
80′
85′
🔁 K. Morgan
↦ K. Casciaro
90′
🟨 Olmo González Casado
3–1 B. Burns ⚽
93′
97′
🔁 Javi Casares
↦ José Galán
97′
🔁 Renan Bernardes
↦ L. Coombes
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Crusaders FC

3-5-2
33 J. Tuffey G
2 B. Burns D
3 C. Hegarty D
20 D. Larmour D
25 R. Clarke F
7 P. Lowry M
8 B. Kennedy M
14 J. Forsythe M
15 J. O'Rourke M
22 P. Heatley F
18 J. Owens F
Bench (9)
9 A. Lecky
19 J. Winchester
27 J. McMurray
36 M. Pauley
10 D. Ebbe
23 R. McKeown
6 R. Weir
43 L. Barr
45 S. Morrow

Coach: S. Baxter

Magpies

4-4-2
1 M. Silva G
2 I. Ayew D
4 Rubén Díaz D
5 F. Zúñiga D
3 L. Coombes D
8 J. Coombes F
21 José Galán M
19 D. Bent D
77 O. Bayode F
39 Pibe F
11 K. Casciaro F
Bench (9)
6 Olmo González
9 K. Morgan
10 Javi Casares
14 Renan Bernardes
16 E. De Haro
32 K. Ronco
33 A. Parker
17 D. Peacock
13 David Zamora

Coach: N. Rooney

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.