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Conference League
Referee: D Bel
KuPS
U S T T T
3–3
Full-time
Derry City
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

KuPS Derry City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 29%
17%
40%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
67%
20%
Both score Ø 35%
50%
20%
Average goals
2,8
1,6
Scored
1,2
0,6
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
This season — Conference League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

9 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Jul -23 Derry City – KuPS 2–1

Match report

KuPS Derry City
9′
🟨 Patrick McEleney
13′
⚽ C. Kavanagh 0–1
1–1 J. Tuominen ⚽
24′
30′
🔁 S. Diallo
↦ P. McEleney
2–1 S. Savolainen ⚽
44′
Half-time 2–1
48′
🟨 Cameron Dummigan
53′
🔁 A. O'Reilly
↦ C. Dummigan
55′
⚽ S. Diallo 2–2
3–2 S. Savolainen ⚽
58′
Jaakko Oksanen 🟨
62′
69′
⚽ M. Duffy 3–3
J. Jervis 🔁
↦ S. Savolainen
71′
Gabriel Bispo 🔁
↦ A. Popovitch
71′
A. Vidjeskog 🔁
↦ A. Heinonen
71′
76′
🟨 Sadou Diallo
79′
🔁 D. Mullen
↦ C. Kavanagh
79′
🔁 S. McEleney
↦ P. McMullan
S. Dahlström 🔁
↦ J. Oksanen
86′
P. Lampinen 🔁
↦ J. Tuominen
86′
Tete Yengi 🟨
93′
95′
🟨 Ben Doherty
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

KuPS

4-2-3-1
1 J. Kreidl G
18 S. Saarinen D
15 I. Cissé D
3 C. Sichenje D
25 C. Antwi D
14 A. Popovitch M
13 J. Oksanen M
6 S. Savolainen D
17 A. Heinonen M
9 J. Tuominen F
23 T. Yengi F
Bench (10)
44 J. Jervis
19 Gabriel Bispo
26 A. Vidjeskog
8 S. Dahlström
11 P. Lampinen
37 M. Pitkänen
12 H. Riihimäki
38 T. Miettinen
16 S. Miettinen
33 T. Hämäläinen

Coach: J. Honkavaara

Derry City

4-3-3
1 B. Maher G
2 R. Boyce D
6 M. Connolly D
17 C. McJannet D
14 B. Doherty D
23 C. Dummigan D
10 P. McEleney M
8 W. Patching M
12 P. McMullan M
29 C. Kavanagh F
7 M. Duffy M
Bench (9)
15 S. Diallo
28 A. O'Reilly
21 D. Mullen
16 S. McEleney
3 C. Coll
26 T. Ryan
45 J. Lemoignan
22 J. McEneff
20 B. Kavanagh

Coach: R. Higgins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Bel · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.