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Europa League
Referee: G Laibuvitz
Pafos
T
2–5
Full-time
Elfsborg
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
0,0
2,3
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 13
1 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 10
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Jul -24 Elfsborg – Pafos 3–0

Match report

Pafos Elfsborg
2′
🟨 Rami Kaib
João Correia 🟥
15′
17′
🟨 Timothy Ouma
22′
⚽ T. Ouma 0–1
R. Kaib
0–2 S. Holmén ⚽
own goal
25′
36′
🟨 Andri Baldursson
42′
🟨 Gustav Henriksson
1–2 V. Dragomir ⚽
M. Tankovic
43′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 B. Zeneli
↦ T. Ouma
46′
🔁 N. Hult
↦ R. Kaib
47′
⚽ M. Baidoo 1–3
N. Hult
48′
⚽ A. Baldursson 1–4
S. Hedlund
M. Ilia 🔁
↦ Jajá
49′
Moustapha Name 🟨
56′
57′
🔁 J. Abdullai
↦ P. Frick
58′
⚽ J. Abdullai 1–5
M. Baidoo
Diogo Dall'Igna 🔁
↦ M. Name
60′
O. Valakari 🔁
↦ M. Tankovic
60′
62′
🔁 J. Larsson
↦ M. Baidoo
69′
🔁 A. Qasem
↦ S. Hedlund
P. Twumasi 🔁
↦ Bruno Felipe
76′
85′
⚽ A. Zeneli 1–6
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Pafos

4-2-3-1
1 I. Ivušić G
77 João Correia M
5 David Goldar D
25 M. Name M
2 K. Pileas M
30 V. Dragomir M
6 Pedro Pelágio M
7 Bruno Felipe M
22 M. Tankovic M
11 Jajá F
10 Jairo F
Bench (9)
70 M. Ilia
34 Diogo Dall'Igna
24 O. Valakari
27 P. Twumasi
45 Rafael Pontelo
55 A. Cikač
80 C. Efzona
93 N. Michael
81 G. Kolotas

Coach: Carcedo

Elfsborg

3-4-3
31 I. Pettersson G
8 S. Holmén D
4 G. Henriksson D
2 T. Yegbe D
15 S. Hedlund M
16 T. Ouma M
6 A. Baldursson M
19 R. Kaib D
10 M. Baidoo M
17 P. Frick F
9 A. Zeneli M
Bench (10)
27 B. Zeneli
23 N. Hult
14 J. Abdullai
13 J. Larsson
18 A. Qasem
11 E. Guðmundsson
30 M. Bundgaard
1 M. Uppenberg
24 C. Jebara
28 N. Söderberg

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.