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Conference League
Referee: O Grinfeeld
Slovan Bratislava
T U S T T
0–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slovan Bratislava Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 72%
43%
100%
Points per game
1,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 86%
71%
100%
Both score Ø 93%
86%
100%
Average goals
2,9
5,0
Scored
1,3
4,0
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+3,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,47 xG 1,62
55% Possession 45%
22 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -24 Sturm Graz – Slovan Bratislava 4–1

Match report

Slovan Bratislava Sturm Graz
Half-time 0–0
David Strelec 🟨
49′
52′
⚽ M. Biereth 0–1
D. Affengruber
Guram Kashia 🟨
54′
N. Marcelli 🔁
↦ J. Zmrhal
60′
M. Tolić 🔁
↦ D. Strelec
60′
62′
🟨 Dimitri Lavalėe
65′
🔁 S. Włodarczyk
↦ M. Biereth
65′
🔁 T. Horvat
↦ O. Kiteishvili
75′
🔁 M. Sarkaria
↦ W. Bøving
75′
🔁 S. Hierländer
↦ J. Gorenc Stankovič
K. Savvidīs 🔁
↦ J. Kucka
77′
84′
🔁 A. Camara
↦ A. Prass
L. Pauschek 🔁
↦ T. Barseghyan
86′
F. Lichý 🔁
↦ G. Kashia
86′
César Blackman 🟥
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Slovan Bratislava

3-4-3
82 M. Borjan G
12 K. Bajrič D
4 G. Kashia D
6 K. Wimmer D
28 C. Blackman M
20 J. Kankava M
33 J. Kucka M
8 J. Zmrhal M
11 T. Barseghyan F
10 G. Rodrigues F
13 D. Strelec F
Bench (9)
18 N. Marcelli
24 M. Tolić
88 K. Savvidīs
25 L. Pauschek
26 F. Lichý
16 R. Božík
35 A. Hrdina
31 M. Trnovský
27 M. Vojtko

Coach: V. Weiss

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
16 V. Jaroš G
2 M. Johnston D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
28 D. Schnegg D
8 A. Prass M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
24 D. Lavalée M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
15 W. Bøving F
18 M. Biereth F
Bench (11)
9 S. Włodarczyk
19 T. Horvat
11 M. Sarkaria
25 S. Hierländer
36 A. Camara
35 N. Geyrhofer
21 S. Stückler
22 J. Gazibegović
31 L. Marić
38 L. Grgić
45 C. Wiener-Pucher

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Grinfeeld · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.