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Europa League
Referee: M Mariani
Toulouse
T S T T S
0–0
Full-time
Benfica
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
4,2
Scored
1,7
3,2
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 72%
43%
100%
Points per game
1,6
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
57%
100%
Both score Ø 86%
71%
100%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,13 xG 1,50
47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -24 Benfica – Toulouse 2–1

Match report

Toulouse Benfica
Aron Dønnum 🟨
15′
K. Keben 🔁
↦ M. Diarra
23′
W. Kamanzi 🔁
↦ M. Desler
30′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Arthur Cabral
↦ C. Tengstedt
46′
🔁 Álvaro Fernández
↦ Morato
68′
🔁 F. Aursnes
↦ David Neres
Gabriel Suazo 🟨
74′
S. Babicka 🔁
↦ G. Suazo
80′
F. Magri 🔁
↦ Y. Gboho
80′
Warren Kamanzi 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Alexander Bah
85′
🔁 O. Kökçü
↦ Á. Di María
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Toulouse

3-4-2-1
50 G. Restes G
23 M. Diarra D
6 Logan Costa D
2 R. Nicolaisen D
3 M. Desler M
4 S. Spierings M
8 V. Sierro M
17 G. Suazo M
15 A. Dønnum F
37 Y. Gboho F
9 T. Dallinga F
Bench (11)
25 K. Keben
12 W. Kamanzi
80 S. Babicka
19 F. Magri
30 Álex Domínguez
20 N. Schmidt
11 César Gelabert
24 C. Cásseres
40 J. Lacombe
10 I. Cissoko
22 N. Skyttä

Coach: Carles Martínez

Benfica

4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin G
6 A. Bah D
4 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
5 Morato D
87 João Neves M
20 João Mário M
11 Á. Di María M
27 Rafa M
7 David Neres M
19 C. Tengstedt F
Bench (11)
9 Arthur Cabral
3 Álvaro Fernández
8 F. Aursnes
10 O. Kökçü
75 André Gomes
44 Tomás Araújo
32 B. Rollheiser
24 Samuel Soares
61 Florentino
36 Marcos Leonardo
47 Tiago Gouveia

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.