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Europa League
Referee: G Kabakov
Qarabag
T T U S S
2–3
Full-time
Sp Braga
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/1 matches
Win Ø 32%
64%
0%
Points per game
2,1
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
55%
100%
Both score Ø 82%
64%
100%
Average goals
2,9
6,0
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,3
4,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,83 xG 1,74
40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 24
6 Shots on target 10
4 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 18
6 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -24 Sp Braga – Qarabag 2–4

Match report

Qarabag Sp Braga
Júlio Romão 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Álvaro Djaló
↦ Pizzi
Elvin Cafarquliyev 🟨
53′
54′
🔁 C. Ndour
↦ R. Zalazar
55′
🟨 Victor Gómez
Elvin Cafarquliyev 🟨
57′
Elvin Cafarquliyev 🟥
57′
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ Y. Benzia
60′
63′
🔁 Bruma
↦ Víctor Gómez
68′
🔁 Vitor Carvalho
↦ João Moutinho
68′
🔁 Rony Lopes
↦ C. Borja
70′
⚽ Roger Fernandes 0–1
Bruma
H. Keyta 🔁
↦ Juninho
74′
Matheus Silva 🔁
↦ Leandro Andrade
74′
83′
⚽ Álvaro Djaló 0–2
Bruma
Toral Bayramov 🟨
85′
86′
🟨 Paulo Oliveira
90′
🔁 S. Saatçı
↦ Paulo Oliveira
Marko Vešović 🟨
91′
100′
🟨 Álvaro Djaló
1–2 Matheus Silva ⚽
102′
N. Axundzadə 🔁
↦ M. Vešović
108′
Patrick Andrade 🔁
↦ Júlio Romão
108′
110′
🟨 Cher Ndour
Bahlul Mustafazada 🟨
111′
115′
⚽ S. Banza 1–3
R. Xhixha 🔁
↦ A. Zoubir
117′
2–3 N. Axundzadə ⚽
B. Hüseynov
122′
123′
🟨 Simon Banza
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 A. Lunev G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
55 B. Hüseynov D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
18 Juninho F
Bench (12)
27 T. Bayramov
17 H. Keyta
2 Matheus Silva
90 N. Axundzadə
66 Patrick Andrade
19 R. Xhixha
5 M. Medvedev
89 A. Ramazanov
24 A. Isaev
23 L. Gugeshashvili
81 K. Medina
30 A. Hüseynov

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
2 Víctor Gómez D
15 Paulo Oliveira D
4 S. Niakaté D
26 C. Borja D
11 Roger Fernandes M
28 João Moutinho M
16 R. Zalazar M
22 Pizzi M
23 S. Banza F
9 Abel Ruiz F
Bench (12)
14 Álvaro Djaló
10 C. Ndour
7 Bruma
18 Vitor Carvalho
20 Rony Lopes
5 S. Saatçı
55 Francisco Chissumba
91 L. Horníček
12 Tiago Sá
6 José Fonte
17 J. Mendes
90 D. Soumaré

Coach: Artur Jorge

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kabakov · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.