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Conference League
Referee: M Barbu
FK Tobol Kostanay
U S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Plzen
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Tobol Kostanay Plzen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Conference League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Barbu · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.