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Conference League
Referee: Gustavo Correia
Basel
T U U S T
1–3
Full-time
FK Tobol Kostanay
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel FK Tobol Kostanay
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,3
1,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 6
15 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
2 Red cards 0

Match report

Basel FK Tobol Kostanay
1–0 T. Barry ⚽
25′
T. Xhaka 🔁
↦ W. Burger
39′
44′
🟨 Jovan Ilić
Half-time 1–0
Riccardo Calafiori 🟨
48′
48′
🟨 Samat Zharynbetov
Thierno Barry 🟥
56′
57′
⚽ S. Deblé 1–1
62′
🟨 Ramazan Orazov
62′
⚽ R. Orazov 1–2
J. Augustin 🔁
↦ D. Schmid
66′
Riccardo Calafiori 🟨
68′
Riccardo Calafiori 🟥
68′
71′
⚽ I. Chesnokov 1–3
72′
🔁 P. Zabelin
↦ R. Orazov
N. Djiga 🔁
↦ M. Lang
77′
Sergio López 🔁
↦ A. Kade
77′
81′
🔁 Z. Zhumashev
↦ S. Deblé
81′
🔁 M. Mrkaić
↦ S. Zharynbetov
91′
🔁 A. Gabaraev
↦ I. Chesnokov
91′
🔁 B. Galym
↦ M. Vukadinović
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Basel

4-3-3
13 M. Salvi G
5 M. Lang D
4 Arnau Comas D
25 F. van Breemen D
33 R. Calafiori D
23 W. Burger M
20 F. Frei M
31 D. Schmid M
27 D. Ndoye F
9 T. Barry F
30 A. Kade F
Bench (12)
34 T. Xhaka
10 J. Augustin
24 N. Djiga
22 Sergio López
28 H. Vogel
39 J. Zé
29 A. Onyegbule
18 E. Essiam
16 N. de Mol
43 T. Pfeiffer
17 A. Hunziker
38 A. Kayombo

Coach: T. Schultz

FK Tobol Kostanay

4-2-3-1
23 I. Konovalov G
24 B. Kairov D
4 I. Rogač D
30 B. Mlađović D
3 R. Asrankulov D
14 S. Zharynbetov M
6 J. Ilić M
11 I. Chesnokov M
20 R. Orazov M
21 M. Vukadinović M
8 S. Deblé F
Bench (9)
13 P. Zabelin
7 Z. Zhumashev
19 M. Mrkaić
15 A. Gabaraev
51 B. Galym
17 T. Zhakupov
12 S. Busurmanov
5 D. Semchenkov
18 P. Kireenko

Coach: M. Ćurčić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.