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Conference League
Referee: F Jović
Maccabi Tel Aviv
S T S S U
1–0
Full-time
AEK Larnaca
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maccabi Tel Aviv AEK Larnaca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

16 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 3
6 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Aug -23 AEK Larnaca – Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1

Match report

Maccabi Tel Aviv AEK Larnaca
26′
🟨 Imad Faraj
Roy Revivo 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Rafael Lopes
↦ Fran Sol
Milson 🔁
↦ Y. Cohen
62′
64′
🟨 Facundo Sánchez
64′
🔁 Bruno Gama
↦ I. Faraj
72′
🟨 Bruno Gama
75′
🟨 Gus Ledes
84′
🟨 Ángel García
G. Kanichowsky 🔁
↦ D. Biton
84′
S. Piven 🔁
↦ Y. Maçon
84′
1–0 E. Zahavi ⚽
86′
87′
🔁 Ismael Casas
↦ F. Sánchez
87′
🔁 I. Trichkovski
↦ Gus Ledes
87′
🔁 R. Mamas
↦ W. Kaptoum
88′
🟨 Rafael Lopes
E. Golasa 🔁
↦ P. Guiagon
91′
Milson 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-3-3
1 Daniel Peretz G
97 Y. Maçon D
55 N. Bitton M
4 Enric Saborit D
3 R. Revivo D
10 D. Biton M
14 J. van Overeem M
42 Dor Peretz M
11 Y. Cohen F
7 E. Zahavi F
18 P. Guiagon M
Bench (12)
17 Milson
16 G. Kanichowsky
31 S. Piven
23 E. Golasa
36 I. Shahar
6 D. Glazer
90 R. Mishpati
9 D. Turgeman
29 E. Almog
27 O. Davidzada
25 D. Luckassen
5 I. Nachmias

Coach: R. Keane

AEK Larnaca

4-4-1-1
1 K. Pirić G
28 F. Sánchez D
15 H. Miličević D
4 N. Tomović D
14 Ángel García D
11 I. Faraj F
17 Pere Pons M
7 Gus Ledes M
45 Á. Gyurcsó M
18 W. Kaptoum M
9 Fran Sol F
Bench (10)
12 Rafael Lopes
16 Bruno Gama
5 Ismael Casas
10 I. Trichkovski
66 R. Mamas
23 Iago Herrerín
38 I. Toumpas
27 V. Roberge
41 M. Gonzalez
34 A. Kapsis

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.