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Conference League
Referee: M Barbu
AEK Larnaca
S U T T S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Larnaca Torpedo Zhodino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,3
5,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,5
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

16 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

AEK Larnaca Torpedo Zhodino
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 A. Kovalev
↦ A. Ksenofontov
61′
🔁 V. Gorbachik
↦ E. Essogo
61′
🔁 D. Lisakovich
↦ E. Shevchenko
65′
🟨 Vladislav Melko
Facundo Sánchez 🟨
67′
I. Trichkovski 🔁
↦ Rafael Lopes
71′
Bruno Gama 🔁
↦ I. Faraj
71′
72′
🟨 Dmitriy Lisakovich
78′
🔁 E. Mensah
↦ V. Pobudey
82′
🔁 E. Mychelkin
↦ O. Batyshchev
Ismael Casas 🔁
↦ Á. Gyurcsó
88′
V. Roberge 🔁
↦ Gus Ledes
92′
1–0 Pere Pons
96′
98′
V. Gorbachik 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

AEK Larnaca

4-4-2
1 K. Pirić G
28 F. Sánchez D
15 H. Miličević D
4 N. Tomović D
14 Ángel García D
11 I. Faraj F
17 Pere Pons M
7 Gus Ledes M
45 Á. Gyurcsó M
12 Rafael Lopes F
9 Fran Sol F
Bench (11)
10 I. Trichkovski
16 Bruno Gama
5 Ismael Casas
27 V. Roberge
18 W. Kaptoum
38 I. Toumpas
30 H. Andreou
66 R. Mamas
42 M. Tzortzis
34 A. Kapsis
23 Iago Herrerín

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Torpedo Zhodino

4-2-3-1
1 E. Abramovich G
5 I. Burko D
88 K. Glushchenkov D
6 K. Premudrov M
96 V. Melko D
9 O. Batyshchev M
97 M. Myakish D
70 V. Pobudey M
21 E. Shevchenko F
55 A. Ksenofontov M
11 E. Essogo F
Bench (9)
17 A. Kovalev
33 V. Gorbachik
10 D. Lisakovich
77 E. Mensah
7 E. Mychelkin
25 T. Yurasov
13 A. Zaleskiy
2 A. Chizh
18 N. Patsko

Coach: D. Molosh

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Barbu · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.