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Conference League
Referee: E Eskås
AEK Larnaca
T U U S U
0–2
Full-time
West Ham
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Larnaca West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/8 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
0%
75%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,5
3,0
Scored
0,5
2,4
Conceded
0,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,78 xG 1,01
47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
14 Corners 0
1 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

AEK Larnaca West Ham
36′
M. Antonio 0–1
S. Benrahma
Half-time 0–2
46′
M. Antonio 0–2
D. Rice
N. Nikolić 🔁
↦ Rafael Lopes
58′
O. Altman 🔁
↦ R. Mamas
59′
I. Faraj 🔁
↦ Ismael Casas
59′
60′
🔁 T. Souček
↦ D. Rice
60′
🔁 J. Bowen
↦ S. Benrahma
60′
🔁 G. Scamacca
↦ M. Antonio
68′
🟨 Flynn Downes
I. Trichkovski 🔁
↦ M. Jakoliš
77′
77′
🔁 Lucas Paquetá
↦ M. Lanzini
83′
🔁 M. Cornet
↦ Pablo Fornals
87′
🟨 Thilo Kehrer
K. Christoforou 🔁
↦ R. Rosales
88′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

AEK Larnaca

4-2-3-1
1 K. Pirić G
5 Ismael Casas D
15 H. Miličević D
4 N. Tomović D
21 N. Englezou D
66 R. Mamas M
7 Gus Ledes M
16 R. Rosales M
6 Oier M
44 M. Jakoliš M
12 Rafael Lopes F
Bench (10)
99 N. Nikolić
51 O. Altman
11 I. Faraj
10 I. Trichkovski
24 K. Christoforou
3 Mikel González
29 G. Naoum
40 D. Stylianidis
38 I. Toumpas
30 H. Andreou

Coach: José Luis Oltra

West Ham

4-2-3-1
13 A. Aréola G
24 T. Kehrer D
4 K. Zouma D
27 N. Aguerd D
3 A. Cresswell D
12 F. Downes M
41 D. Rice M
8 Pablo Fornals M
10 M. Lanzini M
22 S. Benrahma M
9 M. Antonio F
Bench (11)
28 T. Souček
20 J. Bowen
7 G. Scamacca
11 Lucas Paquetá
14 M. Cornet
18 D. Ings
49 J. Anang
47 K. Hegyi
2 B. Johnson
21 A. Ogbonna
33 Emerson

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.