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Conference League
Referee: M Fabbri
Aris Thessalonikis
T S T U U
1–0
Full-time
Ararat-Armenia
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Ararat-Armenia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
67%
20%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
3,5
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Conference League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

17 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Corners 1
7 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Jul -23 Ararat-Armenia – Aris Thessalonikis 1–1

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Ararat-Armenia
29′
🟨 Karen Muradyan
33′
🟨 Cássio Scheid
Moses Odubajo 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
K. Saverio 🔁
↦ J. Menéndez
46′
D. Pavičić 🔁
↦ L. Rupp
61′
J. Jules 🔁
↦ N. Đurasek
61′
64′
🔁 A. Avanesyan
↦ A. Serobyan
64′
🔁 A. Tera
↦ Adriano Castanheira
72′
🔁 D. Terteryan
↦ E. Grigoryan
1–0 Fabiano ⚽
80′
84′
🔁 H. Hakobyan
↦ Alemão
84′
🔁 A. Ambartsumyan
↦ A. Obiero
L. Christodoulopoulos 🔁
↦ Loren Morón
87′
R. Matarrita 🔁
↦ L. Palma
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

23 Julián G
2 S. M'Bakata D
4 Fabiano D
22 M. Odubajo D
3 F. Ferrari D
20 N. Đurasek M
16 V. Darida M
27 J. Menéndez F
10 L. Rupp M
17 L. Palma M
80 Loren Morón F
Bench (9)
11 K. Saverio
24 D. Pavičić
30 J. Jules
7 L. Christodoulopoulos
13 R. Matarrita
77 M. Panagidis
9 A. Gray
94 L. Choutesiotis
32 D. Moberg Karlsson

Ararat-Armenia

4-3-3
45 V. Ermakov G
2 Alemão D
3 J. Julio D
41 Cássio Scheid D
16 E. Grigoryan D
19 K. Muradyan M
7 Adriano Castanheira M
12 A. Obiero M
9 A. Serobyan F
88 W. Eza F
15 T. Yenne F
Bench (12)
18 A. Avanesyan
20 A. Tera
5 D. Terteryan
55 H. Hakobyan
10 A. Ambartsumyan
8 G. Ghazaryan
32 C. Pérez
24 A. Beglaryan
1 R. Manasyan
14 Léo Silva
36 M. Ayvazyan
34 E. Smbatyan

Coach: V. Minasyan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Fabbri · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.