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Conference League
Referee: F Karakó
2–1
Full-time
Midtjylland
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Progres Niederkorn Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
16 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 8
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Progres Niederkorn Midtjylland
1–0 M. De Almeida
15′
Brian Amofa 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 O. Sørensen
↦ S. Gartenmann
46′
🔁 A. Gigović
↦ S. Kaba
2–0 M. De Almeida
52′
60′
🔁 I. Fossum
↦ E. Martínez
Chris Lybohy 🟨
61′
K. Mixtur 🔁
↦ A. Mazure
70′
Y. Bastos 🔁
↦ O. Natami
84′
B. Muratović 🔁
↦ E. Bijelic
84′
90′
🔁 E. Chilufya
↦ A. Şimşir
92′
🟨 Armin Gigović
92′
🔁 N. Dyhr
↦ Paulinho
96′
🟨 Oliver Sørensen
Yannick Bastos 🟨
103′
112′
E. Chilufya 2–1
G. Delgado 🔁
↦ V. Peugnet
117′
L. Figueiredo 🔁
↦ B. Amofa
117′
118′
🟨 Kristoffer Olsson
W. Jarmouni 🔁
↦ M. Karayer
118′
118′
🔁 Charles
↦ K. Olsson
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Progres Niederkorn

3-5-2
16 E. Latik G
4 H. Karamoko D
27 V. Peugnet D
38 M. Karayer D
18 A. Guett Guett M
24 E. Bijelic M
12 B. Amofa M
6 C. Lybohy M
17 M. De Almeida M
19 A. Mazure F
20 O. Natami F
Bench (11)
25 K. Mixtur
7 Y. Bastos
10 B. Muratović
8 G. Delgado
97 L. Figueiredo
9 W. Jarmouni
22 D. Turpel
15 G. Mersch
28 J. Soares
1 S. Flauss
30 Rodrigo Ribeiro

Coach: J. Strasser

Midtjylland

3-4-2-1
1 J. Lössl G
4 S. Gartenmann D
15 S. Ingason D
73 Juninho D
14 H. Dalsgaard M
5 E. Martínez M
8 K. Olsson M
29 Paulinho M
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
58 A. Şimşir F
9 S. Kaba F
Bench (12)
24 O. Sørensen
37 A. Gigović
25 I. Fossum
18 E. Chilufya
44 N. Dyhr
35 Charles
26 P. Ortíz
38 Marrony
17 Franculino Djú
90 O. Hedvall
21 A. Priske
30 M. Ugboh

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.