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Conference League
Referee: A Bitigen
3–2
Full-time
Linfield
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Linfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,8
This season — Conference League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
7,0
4,0
Scored
5,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

20 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 5
14 Free kicks against 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Pogon Szczecin Linfield
16′
J. Mulgrew 0–1
Danijel Lončar 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 E. Koulouris
49′
51′
K. McClean 1–2
2–2 L. Wahlqvist
57′
V. Bichakhchyan 🔁
↦ M. Wędrychowski
64′
A. Gorgon 🔁
↦ L. Zahović
64′
M. Łęgowski 🔁
↦ R. Kurzawa
71′
Léo Borges 🔁
↦ L. Koútris
71′
3–2 V. Bichakhchyan
75′
A. Przyborek 🔁
↦ E. Koulouris
79′
86′
🔁 J. Robertson
↦ C. McKee
87′
🔁 J. Archer
↦ J. Mulgrew
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-3-1
81 B. Klebaniuk G
28 L. Wahlqvist D
68 D. Lončar D
33 M. Malec D
32 L. Koútris D
21 João Gamboa M
7 R. Kurzawa M
15 M. Wędrychowski M
10 L. Zahović F
11 K. Grosicki M
9 E. Koulouris F
Bench (12)
22 V. Bichakhchyan
20 A. Gorgon
99 M. Łęgowski
4 Léo Borges
73 A. Przyborek
41 P. Stolarski
25 W. Lisowski
72 Y. Rostami
83 A. Holewiński
70 S. Wawrzynowicz
17 M. Fornalczyk
61 K. Smoliński

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Linfield

4-3-3
1 C. Johns G
6 J. Scott M
2 D. Finlayson D
15 B. Hall D
16 M. Clarke D
22 J. Mulgrew
5 C. Shields M
8 K. McClean F
7 K. Millar F
17 C. McKee F
9 J. Cooper M
Bench (12)
33 J. Robertson
53 J. Archer
52 M. Williamson
37 R. McKay
29 M. Fitzpatrick
36 R. Annett
51 D. Walsh
34 A. Clarke
60 A. Doherty
21 M. Haygarth
58 L. McStravick
4 M. Newberry

Coach: D. Healy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bitigen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.