Conference League
Referee: D Draganov
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Ararat-Armenia
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
2,0
0,7
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 2–1
51%
Possession
49%
13
Shots
23
6
Shots on target
11
3
Blocked shots
4
7
Goalkeeper saves
2
5
Corners
8
4
Free kicks against
8
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
Recent head-to-head meetings
13. Jul -23 Ararat-Armenia – Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1Match report
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Ararat-Armenia
1–0 Fernando Medeiros
⚽
Emiljano Musta
🟨
🟨
Amos Nondi
⚽
W. Eza
1–1
🟨
Karen Muradyan
2–1 R. Kasa
⚽
Half-time 2–2
⚽
Adriano Castanheira
2–2
A. Kacbufi
🔁
↦ V. İsgəndərli
A. Fangaj
🔁
↦ B. Lila
A. Zejnullai
🔁
↦ D. Mëllugja
🔁
A. Tera
↦ K. Muradyan
🔁
E. Grigoryan
↦ A. Obiero
🔁
A. Ambartsumyan
↦ H. Hakobyan
G. Paulauskas
🔁
↦ R. Kasa
🔁
A. Avanesyan
↦ W. Eza
3–2 R. Dwamena
⚽
🔁
C. Pérez
↦ Cássio Scheid
⚽
T. Yenne
3–3
Arbin Zejnulai
🟨
🟨
Tenton Yenne
⚽
J. Julio
3–4
R. Mihana
🔁
↦ Fernando Medeiros
4–4 R. Dwamena
⚽
⚽
Alemão
4–5
A. Zejnullai
❌
penalty missed
5–5 R. Dwamena
⚽
⚽
A. Serobyan
5–6
A. Kacbufi
❌
penalty missed
⚽
Adriano Castanheira
5–7
6–7 A. Aleksi
⚽
⚽
T. Yenne
6–8
Full-time 6–8
Line-ups
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
4-2-3-1
1
A. Sherri
G
A. Sherri
G
77
B. Lila
M
13
R. Malota
D
26
H. Memolla
D
29
E. Musta
M
8
D. Mëllugja
M
6
A. Aleksi
M
82
R. Kasa
F
11
Fernando Medeiros
M
27
V. İsgəndərli
M
7
R. Dwamena
F
Bench (10)
4
A. Kacbufi
44
A. Fangaj
17
A. Zejnullai
9
G. Paulauskas
18
R. Mihana
28
A. Ahmetaj
16
E. Ndreca
5
S. Janku
23
F. Meçja
12
I. Dabjani
Coach: E. Tetova
Ararat-Armenia
4-3-3
45
V. Ermakov
G
2
Alemão
D
3
J. Julio
D
41
Cássio Scheid
D
55
H. Hakobyan
D
7
Adriano Castanheira
M
19
K. Muradyan
M
12
A. Obiero
M
9
A. Serobyan
F
88
W. Eza
F
15
T. Yenne
M
Bench (10)
20
A. Tera
16
E. Grigoryan
10
A. Ambartsumyan
18
A. Avanesyan
32
C. Pérez
1
R. Manasyan
5
D. Terteryan
34
E. Smbatyan
24
A. Beglaryan
8
G. Ghazaryan
Coach: V. Minasyan
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.