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Conference League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Hearts
T U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Rīgas FS
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Rīgas FS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
3,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-0,8
This season — Conference League · 4/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
25%
13%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
75%
38%
Both score Ø 44%
25%
63%
Average goals
3,8
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
3,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Sep -22 Rīgas FS – Hearts 0–2

Match report

Hearts Rīgas FS
1–0 L. Shankland ⚽
J. Ginnelly
3′
2–0 A. Halliday ⚽
J. Grant
12′
19′
🟨 Žiga Lipušček
39′
⚽ K. Friesenbichler 2–1
A. Ilić
Lawrence Shankland 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–1
C. Smith 🔁
↦ J. Grant
65′
68′
🔁 A. Zjuzins
↦ T. Šimkovič
68′
🔁 J. Vlalukin
↦ V. Sorokins
L. Neilson 🔁
↦ S. Kingsley
69′
73′
🔁 T. Šarić
↦ A. Jatta
75′
🟨 Artūrs Zjuzins
81′
🔁 D. Rakels
↦ K. Friesenbichler
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ B. McKay
88′
E. Henderson 🔁
↦ J. Ginnelly
88′
93′
🟥 Vitālijs Jagodinskis
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hearts

1 C. Gordon G
2 M. Smith D
21 T. Sibbick D
3 S. Kingsley D
19 A. Cochrane D
7 J. Grant M
8 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
16 A. Halliday M
30 J. Ginnelly F
9 L. Shankland F
18 B. McKay F
Bench (7)
27 C. Smith
20 L. Neilson
17 A. Forrest
22 E. Henderson
28 Z. Clark
39 F. Pollock
13 R. Stewart

Rīgas FS

4-2-3-1
12 P. Šteinbors G
2 V. Sorokins D
92 V. Jagodinskis D
43 Ž. Lipušček D
25 P. Mareš D
6 A. Jatta M
28 S. Panić M
81 T. Šimkovič M
30 K. Friesenbichler M
9 Emerson Deocleciano M
19 A. Ilić F
Bench (12)
3 A. Zjuzins
66 J. Vlalukin
24 T. Šarić
10 D. Rakels
99 G. Žaleiko
4 V. Maksimenko
29 Bill
1 V. Černiauskas
21 E. Stuglis
14 R. Varslavāns
13 J. Ņerugals
77 K. Dubra

Coach: V. Morozs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.