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Conference League
Referee: A Stavrev
Rīgas FS
U S U U U
0–2
Full-time
Hearts
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rīgas FS Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Conference League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
1,4
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
40%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,6
0,0
Conceded
1,2
4,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rīgas FS Hearts
8′
🟨 Alex Cochrane
22′
🔁 L. Neilson
↦ C. Halkett
Vitālijs Jagodinskis 🟨
42′
43′
⚽ L. Shankland 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Tomáš Šimkovič 🟨
46′
46′
🟨 Lawrence Shankland
Petr Mareš 🟨
52′
V. Sorokins 🔁
↦ J. Vlalukin
58′
K. Friesenbichler 🔁
↦ T. Šimkovič
59′
70′
🔁 P. Haring
↦ J. Grant
74′
🟨 Craig Gordon
79′
🟨 Josh Ginnelly
79′
🔁 A. Forrest
↦ L. Shankland
79′
🔁 S. Humphrys
↦ J. Ginnelly
Stefan Panić 🟨
80′
83′
🟨 Peter Haring
93′
⚽ A. Forrest 0–2
C. Devlin
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Rīgas FS

3-4-3
12 P. Šteinbors G
92 V. Jagodinskis D
21 E. Stuglis D
43 Ž. Lipušček D
66 J. Vlalukin M
28 S. Panić M
24 T. Šarić M
25 P. Mareš M
81 T. Šimkovič F
19 A. Ilić F
9 Emerson Deocleciano F
Bench (9)
2 V. Sorokins
30 K. Friesenbichler
13 J. Ņerugals
99 G. Žaleiko
4 V. Maksimenko
10 D. Rakels
1 V. Černiauskas
77 K. Dubra
14 R. Varslavāns

Coach: V. Morozs

Hearts

1 C. Gordon G
2 M. Smith D
4 C. Halkett D
3 S. Kingsley D
19 A. Cochrane D
7 J. Grant M
14 C. Devlin M
16 A. Halliday M
30 J. Ginnelly F
9 L. Shankland F
18 B. McKay F
Bench (12)
20 L. Neilson
5 P. Haring
17 A. Forrest
29 S. Humphrys
22 E. Henderson
27 C. Smith
21 T. Sibbick
11 G. Mackay-Steven
13 R. Stewart
12 N. Atkinson
39 F. Pollock
28 Z. Clark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Stavrev · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.