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Conference League
Referee: W Collum
Hapoel Beer Sheva
S S U U U
1–2
Full-time
Villarreal
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hapoel Beer Sheva Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
This season — Conference League · 7/3 matches
Win Ø 79%
57%
100%
Points per game
2,1
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
29%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
67%
Average goals
2,0
5,0
Scored
1,4
3,3
Conceded
0,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Hapoel Beer Sheva Villarreal
Astrit Selmani 🟨
24′
28′
⚽ José Luis Morales 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Yéremy Pino
46′
🔁 N. Jackson
↦ S. Chukwueze
46′
🔁 Kiko Femenía
↦ Dela
R. Hatuel 🔁
↦ A. Selmani
56′
T. Hemed 🔁
↦ E. Ansah
56′
58′
🔁 Dani Parejo
↦ F. Coquelin
58′
🔁 É. Capoue
↦ José Luis Morales
Rotem Hatuel 🟨
60′
1–1 R. Hatuel ⚽
R. Safouri
63′
67′
⚽ Álex Baena 1–2
Yeremy Pino
M. Suleymanov 🔁
↦ E. Abu Abaid
70′
D. Micha 🔁
↦ R. Safouri
70′
75′
🔁 A. Danjuma
↦ Manu Morlanes
78′
🟨 Jorge Cuenca
82′
🟨 Johan Mojica
S. Yehezkel 🔁
↦ E. Shamir
83′
Mariano Bareiro 🟨
84′
Shapi Suleymanov 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hapoel Beer Sheva

3-4-1-2
55 O. Glazer G
5 E. Abu Abaid D
4 M. Vítor D
18 E. Tibi D
30 O. Dadya M
35 M. Bareiro M
20 E. Shamir M
22 Hélder Lopes M
7 R. Safouri F
21 A. Selmani F
13 E. Ansah F
Bench (12)
77 R. Hatuel
17 T. Hemed
93 M. Suleymanov
10 D. Micha
11 S. Yehezkel
36 N. Eliasi
40 R. Alyagon
15 T. Yosefi
3 D. Keltjens
9 I. Shechter
19 S. Elias
1 A. Harush

Coach: E. Barda

Villarreal

4-4-2
35 F. Jörgensen G
37 Dela D
23 A. Mandi D
5 Jorge Cuenca D
12 J. Mojica D
11 S. Chukwueze M
19 F. Coquelin M
20 Manu Morlanes M
16 Álex Baena M
21 Yeremy Pino F
22 José Luis Morales F
Bench (11)
15 N. Jackson
2 Kiko Femenía
10 Dani Parejo
6 É. Capoue
9 A. Danjuma
32 Antonio Pacheco
4 Pau Torres
31 Iker Álvarez
24 Pedraza
13 G. Rulli
40 Rodri Alonso

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.