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Europa League
Referee: L Visser
FK Crvena Zvezda
S T U T T
4–1
Full-time
Ferencvarosi TC
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Ferencvarosi TC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — Europa League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Ferencvarosi TC
Aleksandar Dragović 🟨
21′
Guélor Kanga ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
26′
1–0 G. Kanga ⚽
27′
2–0 S. Mitrović ⚽
A. Pešić
35′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 A. Katai ⚽
M. Gobeljić
50′
Sékou Sanogo 🟨
54′
57′
🔁 B. Vécsei
↦ M. Bešić
57′
🔁 R. Mmaee
↦ F. Boli
4–0 G. Kanga ⚽
M. Ivanić
60′
R. Pankov 🔁
↦ S. Mitrović
62′
S. Srnić 🔁
↦ S. Sanogo
62′
66′
🔁 A. Gojak
↦ A. Laïdouni
66′
🔁 Marquinhos
↦ T. Nguen
71′
⚽ K. Zachariassen 4–1
H. Wingo
72′
🟨 Samy Mmaee
N. Motika 🔁
↦ A. Katai
72′
V. Nikolić 🔁
↦ A. Dragović
72′
Milan Rodić 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 L. Pászka
↦ E. Botka
79′
🟨 Mats Knoester
I. Mustapha 🔁
↦ G. Kanga
80′
86′
🟨 Bálint Vécsei
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
82 M. Borjan G
77 M. Gobeljić D
25 S. Eraković D
15 A. Dragović D
23 M. Rodić D
8 G. Kanga M
35 S. Sanogo M
80 S. Mitrović M
10 A. Katai M
4 M. Ivanić M
72 A. Pešić F
Bench (8)
6 R. Pankov
55 S. Srnić
17 N. Motika
22 V. Nikolić
18 I. Mustapha
1 Z. Popović
70 K. Coulibaly
31 E. Fardou Ben Mohamed

Coach: M. Milojević

Ferencvarosi TC

4-2-3-1
90 D. Dibusz G
31 H. Wingo D
3 S. Mmaee D
4 M. Knoester D
21 E. Botka D
5 M. Bešić M
93 A. Laïdouni M
20 A. Traoré M
16 K. Zachariassen M
10 T. Nguen M
70 F. Boli F
Bench (9)
19 B. Vécsei
8 R. Mmaee
14 A. Gojak
50 Marquinhos
23 L. Pászka
13 A. Esiti
61 S. Mergl
7 X. Mercier
1 Á. Bogdán

Coach: S. Cherchesov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.